Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

St Marys

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in St Marys will increase by an average of 99 dwellings per annum to 7,243 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Penrith City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • 167-171 Queen Street - 35 dwellings (2017)
  • 32 Mamre Road and 29-31 Collins Street - 21 dwellings (2017)
  • 15-21 Sainsbury Street - 66 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • 50 King Street - 17 dwellings (2018)
  • 337-339 Great Western Highway - 47 dwellings (2018)
  • Future development assumed on identified sites, - 321 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Small sites - 16 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of activity centre development (15-70 dwellings per annum)
  • Low level of vacant land development (1-2 dwellings per annum)
  • Moderate-high level of infill development (20-30 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 7,243 2035 Total dwellings: 7,151 2034 Total dwellings: 7,059 2033 Total dwellings: 6,967 2032 Total dwellings: 6,875 2031 Total dwellings: 6,783 2030 Total dwellings: 6,691 2029 Total dwellings: 6,600 2028 Total dwellings: 6,509 2027 Total dwellings: 6,418 2026 Total dwellings: 6,332 2025 Total dwellings: 6,246 2024 Total dwellings: 6,160 2023 Total dwellings: 6,064 2022 Total dwellings: 5,942 2021 Total dwellings: 5,833 2020 Total dwellings: 5,720 2019 Total dwellings: 5,604 2018 Total dwellings: 5,486 2017 Total dwellings: 5,368 2036 Total dwellings: 7,243 2035 Total dwellings: 7,151 2034 Total dwellings: 7,059 2033 Total dwellings: 6,967 2032 Total dwellings: 6,875 2031 Total dwellings: 6,783 2030 Total dwellings: 6,691 2029 Total dwellings: 6,600 2028 Total dwellings: 6,509 2027 Total dwellings: 6,418 2026 Total dwellings: 6,332 2025 Total dwellings: 6,246 2024 Total dwellings: 6,160 2023 Total dwellings: 6,064 2022 Total dwellings: 5,942 2021 Total dwellings: 5,833 2020 Total dwellings: 5,720 2019 Total dwellings: 5,604 2018 Total dwellings: 5,486 2017 Total dwellings: 5,368 2036 Forecast development: 92 2035 Forecast development: 92 2034 Forecast development: 92 2033 Forecast development: 92 2032 Forecast development: 92 2031 Forecast development: 92 2030 Forecast development: 91 2029 Forecast development: 91 2028 Forecast development: 91 2027 Forecast development: 86 2026 Forecast development: 86 2025 Forecast development: 86 2024 Forecast development: 96 2023 Forecast development: 122 2022 Forecast development: 109 2021 Forecast development: 113 2020 Forecast development: 116 2019 Forecast development: 118 2018 Forecast development: 118 2017 Forecast development: 110
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
v18.09.24-1.0.0