Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Penrith

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Penrith will increase by an average of 350 dwellings per annum to 13,368 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Penrith City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Thornton Estate - 1,000 dwellings (2013-2022)
  • 6-8 John Tipping Grove - 30 dwellings (2017)
  • 244 High Street - 18 dwellings (2017)
  • Future development assumed on identified sites, - 221 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • 83-85 Union Road - 48 dwellings (2018)
  • 14 Henry Street - 28 dwellings (2018)
  • 39 - 45 Henry Street - 80 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • Seniors development - Panthers Penrith Precinct, Nepean Senior Living Village @ Panthers - 201 dwellings (2019-2021)
  • Parkview, 164 Station Street - 1,579 dwellings (2020-2030)
  • Small sites - 17 dwellings
  • High level of activity centre development (140-370 dwellings per annum)
  • Low level of vacant land development (1 dwelling per annum)
  • Low-high level of infill development (10-35 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 13,368 2035 Total dwellings: 12,963 2034 Total dwellings: 12,568 2033 Total dwellings: 12,203 2032 Total dwellings: 11,838 2031 Total dwellings: 11,463 2030 Total dwellings: 11,088 2029 Total dwellings: 10,701 2028 Total dwellings: 10,301 2027 Total dwellings: 9,891 2026 Total dwellings: 9,476 2025 Total dwellings: 9,071 2024 Total dwellings: 8,666 2023 Total dwellings: 8,301 2022 Total dwellings: 8,059 2021 Total dwellings: 7,802 2020 Total dwellings: 7,539 2019 Total dwellings: 7,253 2018 Total dwellings: 6,969 2017 Total dwellings: 6,670 2036 Total dwellings: 13,368 2035 Total dwellings: 12,963 2034 Total dwellings: 12,568 2033 Total dwellings: 12,203 2032 Total dwellings: 11,838 2031 Total dwellings: 11,463 2030 Total dwellings: 11,088 2029 Total dwellings: 10,701 2028 Total dwellings: 10,301 2027 Total dwellings: 9,891 2026 Total dwellings: 9,476 2025 Total dwellings: 9,071 2024 Total dwellings: 8,666 2023 Total dwellings: 8,301 2022 Total dwellings: 8,059 2021 Total dwellings: 7,802 2020 Total dwellings: 7,539 2019 Total dwellings: 7,253 2018 Total dwellings: 6,969 2017 Total dwellings: 6,670 2036 Forecast development: 405 2035 Forecast development: 395 2034 Forecast development: 365 2033 Forecast development: 365 2032 Forecast development: 375 2031 Forecast development: 375 2030 Forecast development: 387 2029 Forecast development: 400 2028 Forecast development: 410 2027 Forecast development: 415 2026 Forecast development: 405 2025 Forecast development: 405 2024 Forecast development: 365 2023 Forecast development: 242 2022 Forecast development: 257 2021 Forecast development: 263 2020 Forecast development: 286 2019 Forecast development: 284 2018 Forecast development: 299 2017 Forecast development: 304
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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