Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Penrith City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Penrith City is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 17,911 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Penrith CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--17,00717,85318,42419,170
Deaths--5,4576,2057,0397,919
Natural increase/decrease--11,55011,64811,38511,251
Net migration--6,1111,7911,2931,261
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--25002510

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,531 2035 forecast population change: 2,503 2034 forecast population change: 2,536 2033 forecast population change: 2,474 2032 forecast population change: 2,468 2031 forecast population change: 2,528 2030 forecast population change: 2,522 2029 forecast population change: 2,552 2028 forecast population change: 2,579 2027 forecast population change: 2,747 2026 forecast population change: 2,532 2025 forecast population change: 2,385 2024 forecast population change: 2,723 2023 forecast population change: 2,902 2022 forecast population change: 2,897 2021 forecast population change: 3,235 2020 forecast population change: 3,176 2019 forecast population change: 3,765 2018 forecast population change: 3,848 2017 forecast population change: 3,888
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2,246 2035 Natural increase: 2,247 2034 Natural increase: 2,249 2033 Natural increase: 2,253 2032 Natural increase: 2,258 2031 Natural increase: 2,260 2030 Natural increase: 2,266 2029 Natural increase: 2,274 2028 Natural increase: 2,286 2027 Natural increase: 2,298 2026 Natural increase: 2,310 2025 Natural increase: 2,327 2024 Natural increase: 2,336 2023 Natural increase: 2,336 2022 Natural increase: 2,339 2021 Natural increase: 2,330 2020 Natural increase: 2,330 2019 Natural increase: 2,316 2018 Natural increase: 2,298 2017 Natural increase: 2,276 2036 Total deaths: 1,655 2035 Total deaths: 1,620 2034 Total deaths: 1,584 2033 Total deaths: 1,548 2032 Total deaths: 1,512 2031 Total deaths: 1,479 2030 Total deaths: 1,444 2029 Total deaths: 1,408 2028 Total deaths: 1,371 2027 Total deaths: 1,337 2026 Total deaths: 1,304 2025 Total deaths: 1,272 2024 Total deaths: 1,240 2023 Total deaths: 1,209 2022 Total deaths: 1,179 2021 Total deaths: 1,150 2020 Total deaths: 1,120 2019 Total deaths: 1,091 2018 Total deaths: 1,061 2017 Total deaths: 1,035 2036 Total births: 3,900 2035 Total births: 3,866 2034 Total births: 3,832 2033 Total births: 3,801 2032 Total births: 3,770 2031 Total births: 3,739 2030 Total births: 3,710 2029 Total births: 3,683 2028 Total births: 3,657 2027 Total births: 3,635 2026 Total births: 3,614 2025 Total births: 3,600 2024 Total births: 3,576 2023 Total births: 3,546 2022 Total births: 3,518 2021 Total births: 3,480 2020 Total births: 3,450 2019 Total births: 3,407 2018 Total births: 3,359 2017 Total births: 3,311 2036 Natural increase: 2,246 2035 Natural increase: 2,247 2034 Natural increase: 2,249 2033 Natural increase: 2,253 2032 Natural increase: 2,258 2031 Natural increase: 2,260 2030 Natural increase: 2,266 2029 Natural increase: 2,274 2028 Natural increase: 2,286 2027 Natural increase: 2,298 2026 Natural increase: 2,310 2025 Natural increase: 2,327 2024 Natural increase: 2,336 2023 Natural increase: 2,336 2022 Natural increase: 2,339 2021 Natural increase: 2,330 2020 Natural increase: 2,330 2019 Natural increase: 2,316 2018 Natural increase: 2,298 2017 Natural increase: 2,276 2036 Total deaths: 1,655 2035 Total deaths: 1,620 2034 Total deaths: 1,584 2033 Total deaths: 1,548 2032 Total deaths: 1,512 2031 Total deaths: 1,479 2030 Total deaths: 1,444 2029 Total deaths: 1,408 2028 Total deaths: 1,371 2027 Total deaths: 1,337 2026 Total deaths: 1,304 2025 Total deaths: 1,272 2024 Total deaths: 1,240 2023 Total deaths: 1,209 2022 Total deaths: 1,179 2021 Total deaths: 1,150 2020 Total deaths: 1,120 2019 Total deaths: 1,091 2018 Total deaths: 1,061 2017 Total deaths: 1,035 2036 Total births: 3,900 2035 Total births: 3,866 2034 Total births: 3,832 2033 Total births: 3,801 2032 Total births: 3,770 2031 Total births: 3,739 2030 Total births: 3,710 2029 Total births: 3,683 2028 Total births: 3,657 2027 Total births: 3,635 2026 Total births: 3,614 2025 Total births: 3,600 2024 Total births: 3,576 2023 Total births: 3,546 2022 Total births: 3,518 2021 Total births: 3,480 2020 Total births: 3,450 2019 Total births: 3,407 2018 Total births: 3,359 2017 Total births: 3,311
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 285 2035 Total net migration: 257 2034 Total net migration: 287 2033 Total net migration: 221 2032 Total net migration: 210 2031 Total net migration: 268 2030 Total net migration: 256 2029 Total net migration: 277 2028 Total net migration: 293 2027 Total net migration: 198 2026 Total net migration: 222 2025 Total net migration: 57 2024 Total net migration: 387 2023 Total net migration: 566 2022 Total net migration: 558 2021 Total net migration: 905 2020 Total net migration: 846 2019 Total net migration: 1,323 2018 Total net migration: 1,551 2017 Total net migration: 1,487 2036 Total out migration: 26,994 2035 Total out migration: 26,735 2034 Total out migration: 26,475 2033 Total out migration: 26,230 2032 Total out migration: 25,997 2031 Total out migration: 25,739 2030 Total out migration: 25,481 2029 Total out migration: 25,222 2028 Total out migration: 24,960 2027 Total out migration: 24,732 2026 Total out migration: 24,492 2025 Total out migration: 24,278 2024 Total out migration: 24,044 2023 Total out migration: 23,819 2022 Total out migration: 23,577 2021 Total out migration: 23,290 2020 Total out migration: 22,983 2019 Total out migration: 22,603 2018 Total out migration: 22,178 2017 Total out migration: 21,637 2036 Total in migration: 27,279 2035 Total in migration: 26,992 2034 Total in migration: 26,762 2033 Total in migration: 26,452 2032 Total in migration: 26,208 2031 Total in migration: 26,008 2030 Total in migration: 25,737 2029 Total in migration: 25,499 2028 Total in migration: 25,253 2027 Total in migration: 24,930 2026 Total in migration: 24,714 2025 Total in migration: 24,335 2024 Total in migration: 24,432 2023 Total in migration: 24,384 2022 Total in migration: 24,135 2021 Total in migration: 24,195 2020 Total in migration: 23,829 2019 Total in migration: 23,926 2018 Total in migration: 23,729 2017 Total in migration: 23,124 2036 Total net migration: 285 2035 Total net migration: 257 2034 Total net migration: 287 2033 Total net migration: 221 2032 Total net migration: 210 2031 Total net migration: 268 2030 Total net migration: 256 2029 Total net migration: 277 2028 Total net migration: 293 2027 Total net migration: 198 2026 Total net migration: 222 2025 Total net migration: 57 2024 Total net migration: 387 2023 Total net migration: 566 2022 Total net migration: 558 2021 Total net migration: 905 2020 Total net migration: 846 2019 Total net migration: 1,323 2018 Total net migration: 1,551 2017 Total net migration: 1,487 2036 Total out migration: 26,994 2035 Total out migration: 26,735 2034 Total out migration: 26,475 2033 Total out migration: 26,230 2032 Total out migration: 25,997 2031 Total out migration: 25,739 2030 Total out migration: 25,481 2029 Total out migration: 25,222 2028 Total out migration: 24,960 2027 Total out migration: 24,732 2026 Total out migration: 24,492 2025 Total out migration: 24,278 2024 Total out migration: 24,044 2023 Total out migration: 23,819 2022 Total out migration: 23,577 2021 Total out migration: 23,290 2020 Total out migration: 22,983 2019 Total out migration: 22,603 2018 Total out migration: 22,178 2017 Total out migration: 21,637 2036 Total in migration: 27,279 2035 Total in migration: 26,992 2034 Total in migration: 26,762 2033 Total in migration: 26,452 2032 Total in migration: 26,208 2031 Total in migration: 26,008 2030 Total in migration: 25,737 2029 Total in migration: 25,499 2028 Total in migration: 25,253 2027 Total in migration: 24,930 2026 Total in migration: 24,714 2025 Total in migration: 24,335 2024 Total in migration: 24,432 2023 Total in migration: 24,384 2022 Total in migration: 24,135 2021 Total in migration: 24,195 2020 Total in migration: 23,829 2019 Total in migration: 23,926 2018 Total in migration: 23,729 2017 Total in migration: 23,124
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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