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City of ParramattaPopulation forecast

Melrose Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Melrose Park indicate a 4327.3% increase in population under working age, a 47000.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2185.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Parramatta is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melrose Park - Total persons202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4316.41,2929.71,7549.3+1,723
5 to 9163.27795.91,1546.1+1,138
10 to 1481.63642.76243.3+616
15 to 1961.23642.75502.9+545
20 to 244910.01,1088.31,4437.7+1,394
25 to 2913026.72,32117.53,02016.0+2,889
30 to 349519.42,54219.13,38518.0+3,290
35 to 395912.01,58511.92,25212.0+2,194
40 to 44224.47845.91,2506.6+1,228
45 to 49173.44303.27253.9+708
50 to 54183.62942.24782.5+460
55 to 59255.22471.93892.1+364
60 to 64122.42231.73441.8+333
65 to 6900.02001.53111.7+311
70 to 7400.01971.53001.6+300
75 to 7900.01921.43001.6+300
80 to 8400.01571.22561.4+256
85 and over20.41961.52921.6+290
Total persons489100.013,277100.018,828100.0+18,339
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Melrose Park was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 26.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 2,447 and account for 19.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,542 persons.

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