City of OnkaparingaPopulation forecast
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Central South District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Central South District is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,822 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Central South DistrictForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,9222,1532,3312,257
Deaths--8589091,0181,076
Natural increase/decrease--1,0641,2441,3131,181
Net migration--2,7082,545495-1,024
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--500250

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 31 2035 forecast population change: 28 2034 forecast population change: 31 2033 forecast population change: 28 2032 forecast population change: 38 2031 forecast population change: 39 2030 forecast population change: 167 2029 forecast population change: 354 2028 forecast population change: 541 2027 forecast population change: 732 2026 forecast population change: 707 2025 forecast population change: 846 2024 forecast population change: 745 2023 forecast population change: 753 2022 forecast population change: 738 2021 forecast population change: 673 2020 forecast population change: 866 2019 forecast population change: 769 2018 forecast population change: 781 2017 forecast population change: 734
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 228 2035 Natural increase: 230 2034 Natural increase: 235 2033 Natural increase: 241 2032 Natural increase: 248 2031 Natural increase: 256 2030 Natural increase: 263 2029 Natural increase: 266 2028 Natural increase: 266 2027 Natural increase: 262 2026 Natural increase: 259 2025 Natural increase: 253 2024 Natural increase: 248 2023 Natural increase: 244 2022 Natural increase: 239 2021 Natural increase: 234 2020 Natural increase: 225 2019 Natural increase: 215 2018 Natural increase: 203 2017 Natural increase: 188 2036 Total deaths: 218 2035 Total deaths: 217 2034 Total deaths: 216 2033 Total deaths: 214 2032 Total deaths: 212 2031 Total deaths: 210 2030 Total deaths: 207 2029 Total deaths: 204 2028 Total deaths: 201 2027 Total deaths: 196 2026 Total deaths: 191 2025 Total deaths: 186 2024 Total deaths: 181 2023 Total deaths: 177 2022 Total deaths: 174 2021 Total deaths: 173 2020 Total deaths: 170 2019 Total deaths: 170 2018 Total deaths: 171 2017 Total deaths: 174 2036 Total births: 446 2035 Total births: 447 2034 Total births: 450 2033 Total births: 455 2032 Total births: 460 2031 Total births: 466 2030 Total births: 470 2029 Total births: 470 2028 Total births: 466 2027 Total births: 458 2026 Total births: 450 2025 Total births: 439 2024 Total births: 429 2023 Total births: 421 2022 Total births: 413 2021 Total births: 406 2020 Total births: 395 2019 Total births: 385 2018 Total births: 374 2017 Total births: 362 2036 Natural increase: 228 2035 Natural increase: 230 2034 Natural increase: 235 2033 Natural increase: 241 2032 Natural increase: 248 2031 Natural increase: 256 2030 Natural increase: 263 2029 Natural increase: 266 2028 Natural increase: 266 2027 Natural increase: 262 2026 Natural increase: 259 2025 Natural increase: 253 2024 Natural increase: 248 2023 Natural increase: 244 2022 Natural increase: 239 2021 Natural increase: 234 2020 Natural increase: 225 2019 Natural increase: 215 2018 Natural increase: 203 2017 Natural increase: 188 2036 Total deaths: 218 2035 Total deaths: 217 2034 Total deaths: 216 2033 Total deaths: 214 2032 Total deaths: 212 2031 Total deaths: 210 2030 Total deaths: 207 2029 Total deaths: 204 2028 Total deaths: 201 2027 Total deaths: 196 2026 Total deaths: 191 2025 Total deaths: 186 2024 Total deaths: 181 2023 Total deaths: 177 2022 Total deaths: 174 2021 Total deaths: 173 2020 Total deaths: 170 2019 Total deaths: 170 2018 Total deaths: 171 2017 Total deaths: 174 2036 Total births: 446 2035 Total births: 447 2034 Total births: 450 2033 Total births: 455 2032 Total births: 460 2031 Total births: 466 2030 Total births: 470 2029 Total births: 470 2028 Total births: 466 2027 Total births: 458 2026 Total births: 450 2025 Total births: 439 2024 Total births: 429 2023 Total births: 421 2022 Total births: 413 2021 Total births: 406 2020 Total births: 395 2019 Total births: 385 2018 Total births: 374 2017 Total births: 362
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -197 2035 Total net migration: -203 2034 Total net migration: -203 2033 Total net migration: -212 2032 Total net migration: -209 2031 Total net migration: -217 2030 Total net migration: -121 2029 Total net migration: 87 2028 Total net migration: 275 2027 Total net migration: 471 2026 Total net migration: 448 2025 Total net migration: 593 2024 Total net migration: 497 2023 Total net migration: 509 2022 Total net migration: 499 2021 Total net migration: 439 2020 Total net migration: 591 2019 Total net migration: 554 2018 Total net migration: 579 2017 Total net migration: 545 2036 Total out migration: 2,764 2035 Total out migration: 2,768 2034 Total out migration: 2,771 2033 Total out migration: 2,777 2032 Total out migration: 2,782 2031 Total out migration: 2,787 2030 Total out migration: 2,784 2029 Total out migration: 2,758 2028 Total out migration: 2,715 2027 Total out migration: 2,652 2026 Total out migration: 2,595 2025 Total out migration: 2,522 2024 Total out migration: 2,461 2023 Total out migration: 2,400 2022 Total out migration: 2,337 2021 Total out migration: 2,282 2020 Total out migration: 2,210 2019 Total out migration: 2,145 2018 Total out migration: 2,074 2017 Total out migration: 2,011 2036 Total in migration: 2,567 2035 Total in migration: 2,565 2034 Total in migration: 2,568 2033 Total in migration: 2,564 2032 Total in migration: 2,572 2031 Total in migration: 2,570 2030 Total in migration: 2,663 2029 Total in migration: 2,845 2028 Total in migration: 2,990 2027 Total in migration: 3,123 2026 Total in migration: 3,043 2025 Total in migration: 3,115 2024 Total in migration: 2,957 2023 Total in migration: 2,908 2022 Total in migration: 2,836 2021 Total in migration: 2,721 2020 Total in migration: 2,801 2019 Total in migration: 2,699 2018 Total in migration: 2,653 2017 Total in migration: 2,556 2036 Total net migration: -197 2035 Total net migration: -203 2034 Total net migration: -203 2033 Total net migration: -212 2032 Total net migration: -209 2031 Total net migration: -217 2030 Total net migration: -121 2029 Total net migration: 87 2028 Total net migration: 275 2027 Total net migration: 471 2026 Total net migration: 448 2025 Total net migration: 593 2024 Total net migration: 497 2023 Total net migration: 509 2022 Total net migration: 499 2021 Total net migration: 439 2020 Total net migration: 591 2019 Total net migration: 554 2018 Total net migration: 579 2017 Total net migration: 545 2036 Total out migration: 2,764 2035 Total out migration: 2,768 2034 Total out migration: 2,771 2033 Total out migration: 2,777 2032 Total out migration: 2,782 2031 Total out migration: 2,787 2030 Total out migration: 2,784 2029 Total out migration: 2,758 2028 Total out migration: 2,715 2027 Total out migration: 2,652 2026 Total out migration: 2,595 2025 Total out migration: 2,522 2024 Total out migration: 2,461 2023 Total out migration: 2,400 2022 Total out migration: 2,337 2021 Total out migration: 2,282 2020 Total out migration: 2,210 2019 Total out migration: 2,145 2018 Total out migration: 2,074 2017 Total out migration: 2,011 2036 Total in migration: 2,567 2035 Total in migration: 2,565 2034 Total in migration: 2,568 2033 Total in migration: 2,564 2032 Total in migration: 2,572 2031 Total in migration: 2,570 2030 Total in migration: 2,663 2029 Total in migration: 2,845 2028 Total in migration: 2,990 2027 Total in migration: 3,123 2026 Total in migration: 3,043 2025 Total in migration: 3,115 2024 Total in migration: 2,957 2023 Total in migration: 2,908 2022 Total in migration: 2,836 2021 Total in migration: 2,721 2020 Total in migration: 2,801 2019 Total in migration: 2,699 2018 Total in migration: 2,653 2017 Total in migration: 2,556
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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