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Central North District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Central North District is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,437 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Central North DistrictForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--4,9085,1305,4305,882
Deaths--2,9023,0813,3533,655
Natural increase/decrease--2,0062,0492,0772,227
Net migration--1,8912,1994,2362,940
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--200200125100

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 793 2035 forecast population change: 889 2034 forecast population change: 907 2033 forecast population change: 1,318 2032 forecast population change: 1,360 2031 forecast population change: 1,377 2030 forecast population change: 1,517 2029 forecast population change: 1,304 2028 forecast population change: 1,207 2027 forecast population change: 1,033 2026 forecast population change: 885 2025 forecast population change: 1,025 2024 forecast population change: 826 2023 forecast population change: 834 2022 forecast population change: 878 2021 forecast population change: 966 2020 forecast population change: 986 2019 forecast population change: 804 2018 forecast population change: 789 2017 forecast population change: 551
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 453 2035 Natural increase: 450 2034 Natural increase: 448 2033 Natural increase: 441 2032 Natural increase: 435 2031 Natural increase: 429 2030 Natural increase: 419 2029 Natural increase: 413 2028 Natural increase: 409 2027 Natural increase: 407 2026 Natural increase: 408 2025 Natural increase: 409 2024 Natural increase: 410 2023 Natural increase: 411 2022 Natural increase: 411 2021 Natural increase: 410 2020 Natural increase: 410 2019 Natural increase: 404 2018 Natural increase: 396 2017 Natural increase: 385 2036 Total deaths: 747 2035 Total deaths: 742 2034 Total deaths: 734 2033 Total deaths: 723 2032 Total deaths: 710 2031 Total deaths: 695 2030 Total deaths: 683 2029 Total deaths: 671 2028 Total deaths: 658 2027 Total deaths: 647 2026 Total deaths: 635 2025 Total deaths: 625 2024 Total deaths: 616 2023 Total deaths: 607 2022 Total deaths: 597 2021 Total deaths: 588 2020 Total deaths: 579 2019 Total deaths: 577 2018 Total deaths: 576 2017 Total deaths: 583 2036 Total births: 1,200 2035 Total births: 1,192 2034 Total births: 1,182 2033 Total births: 1,164 2032 Total births: 1,144 2031 Total births: 1,125 2030 Total births: 1,103 2029 Total births: 1,083 2028 Total births: 1,066 2027 Total births: 1,054 2026 Total births: 1,043 2025 Total births: 1,034 2024 Total births: 1,026 2023 Total births: 1,018 2022 Total births: 1,008 2021 Total births: 998 2020 Total births: 989 2019 Total births: 981 2018 Total births: 972 2017 Total births: 968 2036 Natural increase: 453 2035 Natural increase: 450 2034 Natural increase: 448 2033 Natural increase: 441 2032 Natural increase: 435 2031 Natural increase: 429 2030 Natural increase: 419 2029 Natural increase: 413 2028 Natural increase: 409 2027 Natural increase: 407 2026 Natural increase: 408 2025 Natural increase: 409 2024 Natural increase: 410 2023 Natural increase: 411 2022 Natural increase: 411 2021 Natural increase: 410 2020 Natural increase: 410 2019 Natural increase: 404 2018 Natural increase: 396 2017 Natural increase: 385 2036 Total deaths: 747 2035 Total deaths: 742 2034 Total deaths: 734 2033 Total deaths: 723 2032 Total deaths: 710 2031 Total deaths: 695 2030 Total deaths: 683 2029 Total deaths: 671 2028 Total deaths: 658 2027 Total deaths: 647 2026 Total deaths: 635 2025 Total deaths: 625 2024 Total deaths: 616 2023 Total deaths: 607 2022 Total deaths: 597 2021 Total deaths: 588 2020 Total deaths: 579 2019 Total deaths: 577 2018 Total deaths: 576 2017 Total deaths: 583 2036 Total births: 1,200 2035 Total births: 1,192 2034 Total births: 1,182 2033 Total births: 1,164 2032 Total births: 1,144 2031 Total births: 1,125 2030 Total births: 1,103 2029 Total births: 1,083 2028 Total births: 1,066 2027 Total births: 1,054 2026 Total births: 1,043 2025 Total births: 1,034 2024 Total births: 1,026 2023 Total births: 1,018 2022 Total births: 1,008 2021 Total births: 998 2020 Total births: 989 2019 Total births: 981 2018 Total births: 972 2017 Total births: 968
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 340 2035 Total net migration: 339 2034 Total net migration: 459 2033 Total net migration: 877 2032 Total net migration: 926 2031 Total net migration: 948 2030 Total net migration: 1,023 2029 Total net migration: 891 2028 Total net migration: 798 2027 Total net migration: 576 2026 Total net migration: 477 2025 Total net migration: 416 2024 Total net migration: 416 2023 Total net migration: 423 2022 Total net migration: 467 2021 Total net migration: 506 2020 Total net migration: 426 2019 Total net migration: 400 2018 Total net migration: 393 2017 Total net migration: 166 2036 Total out migration: 7,843 2035 Total out migration: 7,782 2034 Total out migration: 7,708 2033 Total out migration: 7,590 2032 Total out migration: 7,467 2031 Total out migration: 7,339 2030 Total out migration: 7,204 2029 Total out migration: 7,084 2028 Total out migration: 6,974 2027 Total out migration: 6,886 2026 Total out migration: 6,811 2025 Total out migration: 6,742 2024 Total out migration: 6,675 2023 Total out migration: 6,603 2022 Total out migration: 6,526 2021 Total out migration: 6,446 2020 Total out migration: 6,375 2019 Total out migration: 6,305 2018 Total out migration: 6,231 2017 Total out migration: 6,190 2036 Total in migration: 8,182 2035 Total in migration: 8,121 2034 Total in migration: 8,167 2033 Total in migration: 8,467 2032 Total in migration: 8,392 2031 Total in migration: 8,286 2030 Total in migration: 8,226 2029 Total in migration: 7,975 2028 Total in migration: 7,772 2027 Total in migration: 7,463 2026 Total in migration: 7,288 2025 Total in migration: 7,158 2024 Total in migration: 7,091 2023 Total in migration: 7,026 2022 Total in migration: 6,994 2021 Total in migration: 6,953 2020 Total in migration: 6,801 2019 Total in migration: 6,705 2018 Total in migration: 6,624 2017 Total in migration: 6,355 2036 Total net migration: 340 2035 Total net migration: 339 2034 Total net migration: 459 2033 Total net migration: 877 2032 Total net migration: 926 2031 Total net migration: 948 2030 Total net migration: 1,023 2029 Total net migration: 891 2028 Total net migration: 798 2027 Total net migration: 576 2026 Total net migration: 477 2025 Total net migration: 416 2024 Total net migration: 416 2023 Total net migration: 423 2022 Total net migration: 467 2021 Total net migration: 506 2020 Total net migration: 426 2019 Total net migration: 400 2018 Total net migration: 393 2017 Total net migration: 166 2036 Total out migration: 7,843 2035 Total out migration: 7,782 2034 Total out migration: 7,708 2033 Total out migration: 7,590 2032 Total out migration: 7,467 2031 Total out migration: 7,339 2030 Total out migration: 7,204 2029 Total out migration: 7,084 2028 Total out migration: 6,974 2027 Total out migration: 6,886 2026 Total out migration: 6,811 2025 Total out migration: 6,742 2024 Total out migration: 6,675 2023 Total out migration: 6,603 2022 Total out migration: 6,526 2021 Total out migration: 6,446 2020 Total out migration: 6,375 2019 Total out migration: 6,305 2018 Total out migration: 6,231 2017 Total out migration: 6,190 2036 Total in migration: 8,182 2035 Total in migration: 8,121 2034 Total in migration: 8,167 2033 Total in migration: 8,467 2032 Total in migration: 8,392 2031 Total in migration: 8,286 2030 Total in migration: 8,226 2029 Total in migration: 7,975 2028 Total in migration: 7,772 2027 Total in migration: 7,463 2026 Total in migration: 7,288 2025 Total in migration: 7,158 2024 Total in migration: 7,091 2023 Total in migration: 7,026 2022 Total in migration: 6,994 2021 Total in migration: 6,953 2020 Total in migration: 6,801 2019 Total in migration: 6,705 2018 Total in migration: 6,624 2017 Total in migration: 6,355
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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