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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

North Manly

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in North Manly is forecast to grow from 1,040 in 2016 to 1,147 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 3.10 to 2.97 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in North Manly. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
North ManlyForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population3,2163,2373,2973,3733,478
Change in population (5yrs)--216077105
Average annual change--0.13%0.37%0.46%0.61%
Households1,0281,0491,0841,1251,163
Average household size3.103.063.012.972.96
Population in non private dwellings3232323232
Dwellings1,0401,0671,1071,1471,187
Dwelling occupancy rate98.8598.3197.9298.0897.98
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of North Manly was estimated to be 3,216 people. It is expected to increase by over 157 people to 3,373 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.48%. This is based on an increase of over 97 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.10 to 2.97 by 2026.

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