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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Manly Vale

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Manly Vale is forecast to grow from 2,617 in 2016 to 3,216 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.45 to 2.41 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Manly Vale. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Manly ValeForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population6,4296,8447,1287,4107,716
Change in population (5yrs)--415285282305
Average annual change--1.26%0.82%0.78%0.81%
Households2,5512,6972,8472,9883,126
Average household size2.452.472.442.422.41
Population in non private dwellings172172172172172
Dwellings2,6172,7742,9283,0733,216
Dwelling occupancy rate97.4897.2297.2397.2397.20
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Manly Vale was estimated to be 6,429 people. It is expected to increase by over 981 people to 7,410 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.43%. This is based on an increase of over 437 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.45 to 2.42 by 2026.

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