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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Palm Beach - Whale Beach

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Palm Beach - Whale Beach is forecast to grow from 1,437 in 2021 to 1,477 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.28 to 2.18 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Northern Beaches Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Palm Beach - Whale BeachForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population2,0932,0382,0182,0402,056
Change in population (5yrs)---55-202116
Average annual change---0.53%-0.19%0.21%0.16%
Households913919926932938
Average household size2.282.212.172.182.18
Population in non private dwellings1111111111
Dwellings1,4371,4471,4571,4671,477
Dwelling occupancy rate63.5463.5163.5663.5363.51
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Palm Beach - Whale Beach was estimated to be 2,093 people. It is expected to decrease by over 75 people to 2,018 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of -0.36%. This is based on an increase of over 13 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.28 to 2.17 by 2031.

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