Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Manly (Town Centre)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Manly (Town Centre) is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Manly (Town Centre) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)983.21644.31603.8+62
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1043.41353.61383.3+34
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)561.8982.61253.0+70
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1765.73028.03367.9+160
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,07835.195525.41,06125.0-17
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)78925.798126.198523.3+196
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)2779.041010.951012.0+233
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2458.02997.93919.2+146
Seniors (70 to 84)2207.23459.242910.1+209
Elderly aged (85 and over)331.1762.01012.4+68
Total persons3,077100.03,763100.04,237100.0+1,161

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 429 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 391 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 510 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 985 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 1,061 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 125 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 345 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 299 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 981 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 955 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 302 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 220 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 277 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 789 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,078 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 56 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 104 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 98
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 100 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -123 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Manly (Town Centre) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 139 (53.9%), and will comprise 10.5% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 222 (44.6%) and comprise 19.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 981 persons.

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