Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bayview

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Bayview is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Bayview - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1263.21784.41814.5+54
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3037.62606.52656.6-37
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2456.22526.32556.3+11
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2596.52696.72556.3-3
Young workforce (25 to 34)1975.02436.12566.3+60
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)54013.655313.857314.2+33
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)48812.348912.250112.4+14
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)62515.854813.655313.7-72
Seniors (70 to 84)85921.792022.987421.6+15
Elderly aged (85 and over)3248.23087.73338.2+9
Total persons3,964100.04,020100.04,048100.0+83

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 874 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 553 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 501 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 573 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 256 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 255 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 255 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 265 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 181 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 920 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 548 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 553 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 243 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 260 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 859 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 625 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 488 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 540 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 197 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 303 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 126
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: -45 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 52
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Bayview between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 16 (2.4%), and will comprise 17.2% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to decrease by 32 (1.8%) and comprise 44.2% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Seniors (70 to 84)', with a total of 920 persons.

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