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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Frenchs Forest Planning Catchment Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Frenchs Forest Planning Catchment Area indicate a 50.0% increase in population under working age, a 9.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 39.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frenchs Forest Planning Catchment Area - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,9955.13,8127.23,9096.6+1,914
5 to 92,8127.24,2918.14,5397.7+1,727
10 to 143,4598.84,2938.14,8258.2+1,366
15 to 192,9827.63,8537.24,4487.6+1,465
20 to 242,1145.43,0135.73,3305.7+1,216
25 to 291,1913.02,2394.22,3504.0+1,159
30 to 341,2413.22,5054.72,5024.2+1,261
35 to 392,0785.33,3966.43,4145.8+1,336
40 to 442,7767.14,0577.64,2677.2+1,491
45 to 493,4208.74,0647.64,5967.8+1,175
50 to 543,0877.93,5256.64,2437.2+1,156
55 to 592,5546.53,2076.03,5926.1+1,038
60 to 641,8594.72,5944.92,8834.9+1,024
65 to 691,6394.22,1104.02,5534.3+915
70 to 741,7634.51,6963.22,2643.8+501
75 to 791,7464.41,5412.91,9633.3+218
80 to 841,2903.31,4292.71,5012.5+211
85 and over1,2663.21,6503.11,7182.9+452
Total persons39,271100.053,277100.058,896100.0+19,625
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Frenchs Forest Planning Catchment Area was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 1,817 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 4,293 persons.

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