Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Frenchs Forest

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Frenchs Forest is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Northern Beaches Council area depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of young families (0-9 and 25-39 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), mostly home leavers accessing affordable housing, employment and education opportunities elsewhere.
  • Loss of older families (10-19 and 45-54 years)
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50-64 years)
  • Minimal net change through migration in older age groups (65+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -47 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 100 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 255 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 425 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 373 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 32 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -29 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -80 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 436 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 371 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -253 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 132 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 192 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -47 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 100 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 255 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 425 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 373 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 32 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -29 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -80 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 436 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 371 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -253 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 132 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 192
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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