Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Fairlight

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Fairlight is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 179 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
FairlightForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--623580564573
Deaths--183195207221
Natural increase/decrease--440385357352
Net migration---261-274-277-232
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 22 2035 forecast population change: 26 2034 forecast population change: 27 2033 forecast population change: 20 2032 forecast population change: 26 2031 forecast population change: 17 2030 forecast population change: 14 2029 forecast population change: 16 2028 forecast population change: 18 2027 forecast population change: 16 2026 forecast population change: 12 2025 forecast population change: 20 2024 forecast population change: 16 2023 forecast population change: 30 2022 forecast population change: 32 2021 forecast population change: 35 2020 forecast population change: 35 2019 forecast population change: 30 2018 forecast population change: 43 2017 forecast population change: 37
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 71 2035 Natural increase: 70 2034 Natural increase: 70 2033 Natural increase: 71 2032 Natural increase: 70 2031 Natural increase: 70 2030 Natural increase: 71 2029 Natural increase: 71 2028 Natural increase: 72 2027 Natural increase: 73 2026 Natural increase: 74 2025 Natural increase: 76 2024 Natural increase: 76 2023 Natural increase: 78 2022 Natural increase: 80 2021 Natural increase: 82 2020 Natural increase: 85 2019 Natural increase: 88 2018 Natural increase: 91 2017 Natural increase: 94 2036 Total deaths: 46 2035 Total deaths: 45 2034 Total deaths: 44 2033 Total deaths: 43 2032 Total deaths: 43 2031 Total deaths: 43 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 42 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 39 2025 Total deaths: 39 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 39 2022 Total deaths: 39 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 37 2019 Total deaths: 37 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 35 2036 Total births: 116 2035 Total births: 115 2034 Total births: 115 2033 Total births: 114 2032 Total births: 113 2031 Total births: 113 2030 Total births: 113 2029 Total births: 113 2028 Total births: 113 2027 Total births: 113 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 115 2024 Total births: 116 2023 Total births: 117 2022 Total births: 119 2021 Total births: 120 2020 Total births: 122 2019 Total births: 125 2018 Total births: 127 2017 Total births: 129 2036 Natural increase: 71 2035 Natural increase: 70 2034 Natural increase: 70 2033 Natural increase: 71 2032 Natural increase: 70 2031 Natural increase: 70 2030 Natural increase: 71 2029 Natural increase: 71 2028 Natural increase: 72 2027 Natural increase: 73 2026 Natural increase: 74 2025 Natural increase: 76 2024 Natural increase: 76 2023 Natural increase: 78 2022 Natural increase: 80 2021 Natural increase: 82 2020 Natural increase: 85 2019 Natural increase: 88 2018 Natural increase: 91 2017 Natural increase: 94 2036 Total deaths: 46 2035 Total deaths: 45 2034 Total deaths: 44 2033 Total deaths: 43 2032 Total deaths: 43 2031 Total deaths: 43 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 42 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 39 2025 Total deaths: 39 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 39 2022 Total deaths: 39 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 37 2019 Total deaths: 37 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 35 2036 Total births: 116 2035 Total births: 115 2034 Total births: 115 2033 Total births: 114 2032 Total births: 113 2031 Total births: 113 2030 Total births: 113 2029 Total births: 113 2028 Total births: 113 2027 Total births: 113 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 115 2024 Total births: 116 2023 Total births: 117 2022 Total births: 119 2021 Total births: 120 2020 Total births: 122 2019 Total births: 125 2018 Total births: 127 2017 Total births: 129
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -48 2035 Total net migration: -44 2034 Total net migration: -44 2033 Total net migration: -51 2032 Total net migration: -44 2031 Total net migration: -54 2030 Total net migration: -57 2029 Total net migration: -55 2028 Total net migration: -55 2027 Total net migration: -57 2026 Total net migration: -62 2025 Total net migration: -55 2024 Total net migration: -61 2023 Total net migration: -48 2022 Total net migration: -48 2021 Total net migration: -47 2020 Total net migration: -51 2019 Total net migration: -58 2018 Total net migration: -48 2017 Total net migration: -57 2036 Total out migration: 561 2035 Total out migration: 559 2034 Total out migration: 556 2033 Total out migration: 554 2032 Total out migration: 552 2031 Total out migration: 552 2030 Total out migration: 551 2029 Total out migration: 551 2028 Total out migration: 551 2027 Total out migration: 550 2026 Total out migration: 551 2025 Total out migration: 550 2024 Total out migration: 549 2023 Total out migration: 548 2022 Total out migration: 547 2021 Total out migration: 546 2020 Total out migration: 546 2019 Total out migration: 544 2018 Total out migration: 544 2017 Total out migration: 543 2036 Total in migration: 513 2035 Total in migration: 514 2034 Total in migration: 512 2033 Total in migration: 503 2032 Total in migration: 508 2031 Total in migration: 499 2030 Total in migration: 495 2029 Total in migration: 496 2028 Total in migration: 496 2027 Total in migration: 493 2026 Total in migration: 489 2025 Total in migration: 495 2024 Total in migration: 488 2023 Total in migration: 500 2022 Total in migration: 499 2021 Total in migration: 499 2020 Total in migration: 495 2019 Total in migration: 486 2018 Total in migration: 496 2017 Total in migration: 486 2036 Total net migration: -48 2035 Total net migration: -44 2034 Total net migration: -44 2033 Total net migration: -51 2032 Total net migration: -44 2031 Total net migration: -54 2030 Total net migration: -57 2029 Total net migration: -55 2028 Total net migration: -55 2027 Total net migration: -57 2026 Total net migration: -62 2025 Total net migration: -55 2024 Total net migration: -61 2023 Total net migration: -48 2022 Total net migration: -48 2021 Total net migration: -47 2020 Total net migration: -51 2019 Total net migration: -58 2018 Total net migration: -48 2017 Total net migration: -57 2036 Total out migration: 561 2035 Total out migration: 559 2034 Total out migration: 556 2033 Total out migration: 554 2032 Total out migration: 552 2031 Total out migration: 552 2030 Total out migration: 551 2029 Total out migration: 551 2028 Total out migration: 551 2027 Total out migration: 550 2026 Total out migration: 551 2025 Total out migration: 550 2024 Total out migration: 549 2023 Total out migration: 548 2022 Total out migration: 547 2021 Total out migration: 546 2020 Total out migration: 546 2019 Total out migration: 544 2018 Total out migration: 544 2017 Total out migration: 543 2036 Total in migration: 513 2035 Total in migration: 514 2034 Total in migration: 512 2033 Total in migration: 503 2032 Total in migration: 508 2031 Total in migration: 499 2030 Total in migration: 495 2029 Total in migration: 496 2028 Total in migration: 496 2027 Total in migration: 493 2026 Total in migration: 489 2025 Total in migration: 495 2024 Total in migration: 488 2023 Total in migration: 500 2022 Total in migration: 499 2021 Total in migration: 499 2020 Total in migration: 495 2019 Total in migration: 486 2018 Total in migration: 496 2017 Total in migration: 486
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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