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Belrose - Oxford Falls

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Belrose - Oxford Falls is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 625 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Belrose - Oxford FallsForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--495557590619
Deaths--531589621636
Natural increase/decrease---36-32-30-17
Net migration--631444416365
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--3045240

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 64 2035 forecast population change: 74 2034 forecast population change: 72 2033 forecast population change: 66 2032 forecast population change: 71 2031 forecast population change: 104 2030 forecast population change: 76 2029 forecast population change: 74 2028 forecast population change: 77 2027 forecast population change: 79 2026 forecast population change: 134 2025 forecast population change: 80 2024 forecast population change: 86 2023 forecast population change: 83 2022 forecast population change: 73 2021 forecast population change: 138 2020 forecast population change: 161 2019 forecast population change: 179 2018 forecast population change: 97 2017 forecast population change: 50
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -2 2035 Natural increase: -3 2034 Natural increase: -4 2033 Natural increase: -4 2032 Natural increase: -5 2031 Natural increase: -5 2030 Natural increase: -6 2029 Natural increase: -6 2028 Natural increase: -6 2027 Natural increase: -7 2026 Natural increase: -7 2025 Natural increase: -7 2024 Natural increase: -7 2023 Natural increase: -6 2022 Natural increase: -5 2021 Natural increase: -5 2020 Natural increase: -7 2019 Natural increase: -9 2018 Natural increase: -9 2017 Natural increase: -6 2036 Total deaths: 128 2035 Total deaths: 128 2034 Total deaths: 127 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 126 2031 Total deaths: 126 2030 Total deaths: 125 2029 Total deaths: 124 2028 Total deaths: 123 2027 Total deaths: 122 2026 Total deaths: 121 2025 Total deaths: 120 2024 Total deaths: 118 2023 Total deaths: 116 2022 Total deaths: 114 2021 Total deaths: 112 2020 Total deaths: 110 2019 Total deaths: 107 2018 Total deaths: 104 2017 Total deaths: 99 2036 Total births: 126 2035 Total births: 125 2034 Total births: 124 2033 Total births: 123 2032 Total births: 122 2031 Total births: 121 2030 Total births: 119 2029 Total births: 118 2028 Total births: 117 2027 Total births: 116 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 113 2024 Total births: 111 2023 Total births: 110 2022 Total births: 109 2021 Total births: 106 2020 Total births: 103 2019 Total births: 98 2018 Total births: 95 2017 Total births: 93 2036 Natural increase: -2 2035 Natural increase: -3 2034 Natural increase: -4 2033 Natural increase: -4 2032 Natural increase: -5 2031 Natural increase: -5 2030 Natural increase: -6 2029 Natural increase: -6 2028 Natural increase: -6 2027 Natural increase: -7 2026 Natural increase: -7 2025 Natural increase: -7 2024 Natural increase: -7 2023 Natural increase: -6 2022 Natural increase: -5 2021 Natural increase: -5 2020 Natural increase: -7 2019 Natural increase: -9 2018 Natural increase: -9 2017 Natural increase: -6 2036 Total deaths: 128 2035 Total deaths: 128 2034 Total deaths: 127 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 126 2031 Total deaths: 126 2030 Total deaths: 125 2029 Total deaths: 124 2028 Total deaths: 123 2027 Total deaths: 122 2026 Total deaths: 121 2025 Total deaths: 120 2024 Total deaths: 118 2023 Total deaths: 116 2022 Total deaths: 114 2021 Total deaths: 112 2020 Total deaths: 110 2019 Total deaths: 107 2018 Total deaths: 104 2017 Total deaths: 99 2036 Total births: 126 2035 Total births: 125 2034 Total births: 124 2033 Total births: 123 2032 Total births: 122 2031 Total births: 121 2030 Total births: 119 2029 Total births: 118 2028 Total births: 117 2027 Total births: 116 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 113 2024 Total births: 111 2023 Total births: 110 2022 Total births: 109 2021 Total births: 106 2020 Total births: 103 2019 Total births: 98 2018 Total births: 95 2017 Total births: 93
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 66 2035 Total net migration: 77 2034 Total net migration: 76 2033 Total net migration: 71 2032 Total net migration: 76 2031 Total net migration: 85 2030 Total net migration: 82 2029 Total net migration: 80 2028 Total net migration: 83 2027 Total net migration: 86 2026 Total net migration: 96 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 93 2023 Total net migration: 89 2022 Total net migration: 79 2021 Total net migration: 113 2020 Total net migration: 167 2019 Total net migration: 188 2018 Total net migration: 106 2017 Total net migration: 56 2036 Total out migration: 844 2035 Total out migration: 839 2034 Total out migration: 834 2033 Total out migration: 829 2032 Total out migration: 823 2031 Total out migration: 816 2030 Total out migration: 810 2029 Total out migration: 804 2028 Total out migration: 796 2027 Total out migration: 789 2026 Total out migration: 781 2025 Total out migration: 774 2024 Total out migration: 765 2023 Total out migration: 757 2022 Total out migration: 750 2021 Total out migration: 738 2020 Total out migration: 720 2019 Total out migration: 701 2018 Total out migration: 690 2017 Total out migration: 678 2036 Total in migration: 910 2035 Total in migration: 916 2034 Total in migration: 909 2033 Total in migration: 900 2032 Total in migration: 899 2031 Total in migration: 901 2030 Total in migration: 892 2029 Total in migration: 884 2028 Total in migration: 879 2027 Total in migration: 875 2026 Total in migration: 877 2025 Total in migration: 861 2024 Total in migration: 858 2023 Total in migration: 846 2022 Total in migration: 829 2021 Total in migration: 851 2020 Total in migration: 888 2019 Total in migration: 889 2018 Total in migration: 796 2017 Total in migration: 734 2036 Total net migration: 66 2035 Total net migration: 77 2034 Total net migration: 76 2033 Total net migration: 71 2032 Total net migration: 76 2031 Total net migration: 85 2030 Total net migration: 82 2029 Total net migration: 80 2028 Total net migration: 83 2027 Total net migration: 86 2026 Total net migration: 96 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 93 2023 Total net migration: 89 2022 Total net migration: 79 2021 Total net migration: 113 2020 Total net migration: 167 2019 Total net migration: 188 2018 Total net migration: 106 2017 Total net migration: 56 2036 Total out migration: 844 2035 Total out migration: 839 2034 Total out migration: 834 2033 Total out migration: 829 2032 Total out migration: 823 2031 Total out migration: 816 2030 Total out migration: 810 2029 Total out migration: 804 2028 Total out migration: 796 2027 Total out migration: 789 2026 Total out migration: 781 2025 Total out migration: 774 2024 Total out migration: 765 2023 Total out migration: 757 2022 Total out migration: 750 2021 Total out migration: 738 2020 Total out migration: 720 2019 Total out migration: 701 2018 Total out migration: 690 2017 Total out migration: 678 2036 Total in migration: 910 2035 Total in migration: 916 2034 Total in migration: 909 2033 Total in migration: 900 2032 Total in migration: 899 2031 Total in migration: 901 2030 Total in migration: 892 2029 Total in migration: 884 2028 Total in migration: 879 2027 Total in migration: 875 2026 Total in migration: 877 2025 Total in migration: 861 2024 Total in migration: 858 2023 Total in migration: 846 2022 Total in migration: 829 2021 Total in migration: 851 2020 Total in migration: 888 2019 Total in migration: 889 2018 Total in migration: 796 2017 Total in migration: 734
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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