Nillumbik ShirePopulation forecast
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North Warrandyte

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North Warrandyte indicate a 21.1% decrease in population under working age, a 68.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Nillumbik Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North Warrandyte - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42026.51475.01605.4-42
5 to 92267.31766.01876.3-39
10 to 142518.12137.32016.8-50
15 to 192457.92137.31986.7-47
20 to 242066.61766.01635.5-43
25 to 29973.11194.01143.9+17
30 to 341484.81214.11204.1-28
35 to 391795.71515.21645.6-14
40 to 442788.92127.22147.2-65
45 to 492919.42297.82247.6-67
50 to 542738.82568.72267.6-48
55 to 592447.82307.81966.6-47
60 to 641705.51876.41796.0+8
65 to 691073.41705.81645.5+57
70 to 741103.51414.81575.3+46
75 to 79501.6923.11394.7+89
80 to 84150.5712.4943.2+78
85 and over180.6321.1582.0+40
Total persons3,111100.02,935100.02,957100.0-154

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 224 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 114 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 256 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 229 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 15 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 110 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 244 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 278 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 148 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 97 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 226 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 202
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -33 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -32 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -55
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North Warrandyte was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 63 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 256 persons.

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