Nillumbik ShirePopulation forecast
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Eltham (Edendale)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Eltham (Edendale) indicate a 20.3% decrease in population under working age, a 98.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Nillumbik Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Eltham (Edendale) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41504.31414.41474.6-3
5 to 92045.91755.51926.0-12
10 to 143129.02156.72227.0-90
15 to 193209.22387.42367.4-84
20 to 243309.52287.11926.0-138
25 to 291564.51464.51274.0-29
30 to 34932.71504.71344.2+41
35 to 391444.11795.61875.9+43
40 to 442577.42056.42357.3-22
45 to 4936310.52196.82437.6-120
50 to 5436210.42527.82317.2-131
55 to 593349.62838.82056.4-129
60 to 641805.22517.81875.9+7
65 to 691363.92026.31745.4+38
70 to 74952.71193.71655.2+70
75 to 79190.51093.41595.0+140
80 to 8480.2732.3922.9+84
85 and over100.3280.9662.1+56
Total persons3,473100.03,212100.03,196100.0-277

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 159 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 205 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 231 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 243 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 251 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 219 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 146 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 228 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 238 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 175 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 95 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 180 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 334 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 362 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 363 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 257 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 330 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 320 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 204 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 150
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -64 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -35 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -110 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -144 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -102 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -82 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -97 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -9
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Eltham (Edendale) was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 10.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 3.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 283 persons.

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