Nillumbik ShirePopulation forecast
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Eltham North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Eltham North indicate a 15.2% decrease in population under working age, a 56.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Nillumbik Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Eltham North - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43336.82314.92455.1-88
5 to 93767.72876.13046.4-72
10 to 143447.03757.93547.4+10
15 to 193998.24068.63838.0-16
20 to 243898.03126.63337.0-56
25 to 291994.11974.22034.2+4
30 to 341663.42174.62104.4+44
35 to 392996.12896.13056.4+6
40 to 444018.23447.33747.8-27
45 to 494228.63607.63687.7-54
50 to 543988.13617.63397.1-59
55 to 593978.13417.23106.5-87
60 to 643046.22745.82545.3-50
65 to 692234.62485.32194.6-4
70 to 741332.72054.31934.1+60
75 to 79861.81433.01653.5+79
80 to 8470.1751.61202.5+113
85 and over150.3541.2911.9+76
Total persons4,891100.04,719100.04,769100.0-122

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 193 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 219 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 339 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 368 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 374 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 305 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 210 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 203 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 383 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 354 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 304 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 361 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 344 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 217 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 312 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 406 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 375 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 15 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 133 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 304 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 397 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 398 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 422 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 401 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 299 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 199 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 389 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 344 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 376 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 333
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -29 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -22 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -23 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -62 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -57 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -89 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Eltham North was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 72 and account for 4.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 406 persons.

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