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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in City of Newcastle is forecast to grow from 69,245 in 2016 to 88,747 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.38 to 2.35 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Newcastle. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of NewcastleForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--10,3889,2667,4277,0437,007
Average annual change--1.26%1.06%0.81%0.74%0.71%
Average household size2.382.392.382.372.362.35
Population in non private dwellings5,0385,3125,3875,4625,5575,632
Dwelling occupancy rate94.4194.2294.3194.3294.2894.23
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of City of Newcastle was estimated to be 160,919 people. It is expected to increase by over 27,081 people to 188,000 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.57%. This is based on an increase of over 11,710 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.38 to 2.37 by 2026.

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