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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Waratah West

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Waratah West is forecast to grow from 1,212 in 2021 to 1,251 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.43 to 2.35 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Newcastle. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Waratah WestForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population3,3913,7013,6153,6973,7333,745
Change in population (5yrs)--309-86833612
Average annual change--1.76%-0.47%0.45%0.19%0.06%
Households1,1341,1511,1271,1711,1951,210
Average household size2.432.442.422.392.372.35
Population in non private dwellings631893894895897898
Dwellings1,2121,2281,2331,2391,2451,251
Dwelling occupancy rate93.5693.7391.4094.5195.9896.72
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Waratah West was estimated to be 3,391 people. It is expected to increase by over 224 people to 3,615 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.64%. This is based on a loss of over 7 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.43 to 2.42 by 2031.

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