Powered by .id (informed decisions) for City of Newcastle
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LEARN MORE ABOUT .idBetween [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Elermore Vale - Rankin Park indicate a 6.8% decrease in population under working age, a 7.5% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 6.1% increase in population of working age.
Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.
The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.
| Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elermore Vale - Rankin Park - Total persons | [Parameter].[Year1Label] | 2022 | 2046 | Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046 | |||
| Age group (years) | Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | Number |
| 0 to 4 | 415 | 5.6 | 411 | 5.5 | 529 | 5.5 | +114 |
| 5 to 9 | 443 | 6.0 | 406 | 5.5 | 524 | 5.4 | +81 |
| 10 to 14 | 445 | 6.0 | 398 | 5.3 | 467 | 4.8 | +22 |
| 15 to 19 | 463 | 6.2 | 416 | 5.6 | 503 | 5.2 | +40 |
| 20 to 24 | 404 | 5.5 | 541 | 7.3 | 548 | 5.7 | +143 |
| 25 to 29 | 442 | 6.0 | 570 | 7.6 | 542 | 5.6 | +101 |
| 30 to 34 | 488 | 6.6 | 532 | 7.1 | 585 | 6.0 | +97 |
| 35 to 39 | 516 | 7.0 | 484 | 6.5 | 596 | 6.2 | +80 |
| 40 to 44 | 434 | 5.9 | 425 | 5.7 | 557 | 5.8 | +122 |
| 45 to 49 | 437 | 5.9 | 404 | 5.4 | 578 | 6.0 | +141 |
| 50 to 54 | 374 | 5.1 | 409 | 5.5 | 618 | 6.4 | +244 |
| 55 to 59 | 385 | 5.2 | 431 | 5.8 | 652 | 6.7 | +266 |
| 60 to 64 | 398 | 5.4 | 392 | 5.3 | 617 | 6.4 | +219 |
| 65 to 69 | 414 | 5.6 | 396 | 5.3 | 494 | 5.1 | +81 |
| 70 to 74 | 438 | 5.9 | 375 | 5.0 | 474 | 4.9 | +35 |
| 75 to 79 | 365 | 4.9 | 331 | 4.4 | 474 | 4.9 | +109 |
| 80 to 84 | 245 | 3.3 | 228 | 3.1 | 442 | 4.6 | +197 |
| 85 and over | 301 | 4.1 | 300 | 4.0 | 468 | 4.8 | +167 |
| Total persons | 7,408 | 100.0 | 7,450 | 100.0 | 9,667 | 100.0 | +2,259 |
Key findings
In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Elermore Vale - Rankin Park was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.
The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 137 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.
The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 570 persons.
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