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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Adamstown

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Adamstown indicate a 20.8% increase in population under working age, a 29.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Adamstown - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43745.83905.94135.8+38
5 to 93295.14466.84256.0+97
10 to 143625.64506.93835.4+21
15 to 193315.24196.43474.9+16
20 to 246389.94566.93705.2-268
25 to 2965110.14346.64396.1-212
30 to 345218.14526.94866.8-34
35 to 394677.34687.14997.0+32
40 to 444246.64797.35207.3+95
45 to 493956.24286.54966.9+101
50 to 543805.94196.44346.1+54
55 to 594196.53565.44376.1+18
60 to 643114.93214.94065.7+95
65 to 692804.42664.13154.4+36
70 to 741712.72263.42733.8+101
75 to 791472.32283.52473.5+100
80 to 841241.91732.62363.3+112
85 and over891.41542.44215.9+332
Total persons6,413100.06,563100.07,146100.0+734
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Adamstown was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 118 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 479 persons.

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