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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region indicate a 12.4% increase in males under working age, a 13.7% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 0.9% decrease in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41625.81645.91364.6-26
5 to 91686.01736.31274.3-40
10 to 141364.81876.81404.7+4
15 to 191455.21856.71776.0+32
20 to 241796.41746.31856.2+6
25 to 292228.02097.61916.4-31
30 to 342157.72027.32217.4+6
35 to 391786.41625.92237.5+45
40 to 441374.91274.62488.4+111
45 to 491806.41686.12267.6+46
50 to 541746.21656.01886.3+15
55 to 591655.91796.51856.2+19
60 to 641525.41615.81434.8-8
65 to 691455.21375.0923.1-53
70 to 741746.21495.41304.4-44
75 to 791073.81104.01394.7+31
80 to 841134.0752.71083.7-5
85 and over451.6331.21083.6+63
Total persons2,797100.02,760100.02,968100.0+171
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 52 and account for 6.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 209 males.

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