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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in City of Newcastle is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Newcastle depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial in-migration of late teens and persons in their early twenties to many parts of the City, notably the inner suburbs and areas near the University of Newcastle campus at Callaghan
  • Some loss of persons in their late twenties and thirties, as couples and young and prospective family households move from the City for more affordable and appropriate housing types
  • Modest gain of 40-54 year olds

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