City of NewcastlePopulation forecast
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City of Newcastle

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Newcastle is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Newcastle depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial in-migration of late teens and persons in their early twenties to many parts of the City, notably the inner suburbs and areas near the University of Newcastle campus at Callaghan
  • Some loss of persons in their late twenties and thirties, as couples and young and prospective family households move from the City for more affordable and appropriate housing types
  • Modest gain of 40-54 year olds
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 366 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -133 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -76 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -6 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 54 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 242 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -49 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -508 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -965 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -313 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,334 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 3,361 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 192 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -493 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -979 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 264 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 173 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 395 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -240 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -906 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,617 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,444 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -351 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 275 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 215 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 314 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 469 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -462 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -140 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,764 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,702 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 334 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -350 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -654 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 366 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -133 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -76 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -6 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 54 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 242 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -49 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -508 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -965 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -313 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,334 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 3,361 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 192 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -493 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -979 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 264 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 173 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 395 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -240 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -906 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,617 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,444 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -351 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 275 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 215 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 314 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 469 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -462 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -140 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,764 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,702 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 334 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -350 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -654
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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