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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Dwellings and development map

Between 2021 and 2046, Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West is forecast for the greatest increase in development of new dwellings in the City of Newcastle.

Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across the City of Newcastle is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.

However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure map helps visualize population shifts.

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Forecast dwellings and development
City of Newcastle20212046Change between 2021 and 2046
AreaNumber%Number%Number%
City of Newcastle74,398100.094,184100.0+19,786+26.6
Adamstown2,8113.83,3953.6+584+20.8
Adamstown Heights1,7512.41,7511.900
Bar Beach - The Junction1,1031.51,6311.7+528+47.9
Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region2,4243.32,5432.7+119+4.9
Birmingham Gardens - Callaghan1,0921.51,2671.3+175+16.0
Broadmeadow - Hamilton North1,3441.82,3172.5+973+72.4
Carrington9861.39931.1+6+0.6
Cooks Hill2,0642.82,6292.8+565+27.4
Elermore Vale - Rankin Park2,9774.03,9354.2+958+32.2
Fletcher - Minmi2,7563.75,3445.7+2,588+93.9
Georgetown - Waratah3,0794.13,8134.0+734+23.8
Hamilton2,2443.03,5123.7+1,268+56.5
Hamilton South - Hamilton East2,3793.22,4492.6+70+2.9
Islington - Tighes Hill1,8032.42,3582.5+555+30.8
Jesmond1,3641.81,5461.6+182+13.4
Kotara1,7092.31,7651.9+55+3.2
Lambton2,2613.02,4222.6+162+7.1
Maryland2,8943.93,0113.2+117+4.0
Maryville - Wickham1,7342.32,3632.5+629+36.3
Mayfield - Mayfield East5,3757.26,2156.6+841+15.6
Mayfield West - Warabrook1,6572.21,7501.9+93+5.6
Merewether - Merewether Heights5,6157.55,9236.3+308+5.5
New Lambton - New Lambton Heights4,8146.54,9865.3+172+3.6
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West4,4736.010,26710.9+5,795+129.6
North Lambton1,5162.01,6671.8+151+9.9
Shortland - Sandgate2,1462.92,3022.4+156+7.3
Stockton1,8572.52,0022.1+145+7.8
The Hill1,1511.51,3581.4+208+18.0
Wallsend5,8077.87,4197.9+1,612+27.7
Waratah West1,2121.61,2511.3+39+3.2
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

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