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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Newcastle is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 10,387 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of NewcastleForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births10,91711,59811,99612,34112,706
Deaths8,8308,6488,9249,1829,367
Natural increase/decrease2,0882,9503,0723,1593,339
Net migration8,0076,2184,2543,7603,561
Change in persons in non-private dwellings27475759575
Total population change10,3889,2667,4277,0437,007
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

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