City of NewcastlePopulation forecast
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City of Newcastle

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Newcastle is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 10,387 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of NewcastleForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--10,91711,59811,99612,34112,706
Deaths--8,8308,6488,9249,1829,367
Natural increase/decrease--2,0882,9503,0723,1593,339
Net migration--8,0076,2184,2543,7603,561
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--27475759575

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 1,391 2040 forecast population change: 1,468 2039 forecast population change: 1,393 2038 forecast population change: 1,383 2037 forecast population change: 1,372 2036 forecast population change: 1,378 2035 forecast population change: 1,477 2034 forecast population change: 1,389 2033 forecast population change: 1,375 2032 forecast population change: 1,423 2031 forecast population change: 1,371 2030 forecast population change: 1,476 2029 forecast population change: 1,474 2028 forecast population change: 1,510 2027 forecast population change: 1,596 2026 forecast population change: 1,680 2025 forecast population change: 1,832 2024 forecast population change: 1,798 2023 forecast population change: 1,907 2022 forecast population change: 2,049 2021 forecast population change: 2,184 2020 forecast population change: 2,139 2019 forecast population change: 2,327 2018 forecast population change: 2,220 2017 forecast population change: 1,518
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 682 2040 Natural increase: 678 2039 Natural increase: 667 2038 Natural increase: 657 2037 Natural increase: 653 2036 Natural increase: 643 2035 Natural increase: 637 2034 Natural increase: 630 2033 Natural increase: 629 2032 Natural increase: 619 2031 Natural increase: 622 2030 Natural increase: 620 2029 Natural increase: 614 2028 Natural increase: 611 2027 Natural increase: 604 2026 Natural increase: 604 2025 Natural increase: 605 2024 Natural increase: 596 2023 Natural increase: 588 2022 Natural increase: 558 2021 Natural increase: 554 2020 Natural increase: 505 2019 Natural increase: 460 2018 Natural increase: 373 2017 Natural increase: 195 2041 Total deaths: 1,888 2040 Total deaths: 1,878 2039 Total deaths: 1,874 2038 Total deaths: 1,869 2037 Total deaths: 1,859 2036 Total deaths: 1,855 2035 Total deaths: 1,845 2034 Total deaths: 1,837 2033 Total deaths: 1,825 2032 Total deaths: 1,820 2031 Total deaths: 1,803 2030 Total deaths: 1,793 2029 Total deaths: 1,785 2028 Total deaths: 1,775 2027 Total deaths: 1,768 2026 Total deaths: 1,752 2025 Total deaths: 1,734 2024 Total deaths: 1,727 2023 Total deaths: 1,714 2022 Total deaths: 1,720 2021 Total deaths: 1,696 2020 Total deaths: 1,716 2019 Total deaths: 1,729 2018 Total deaths: 1,770 2017 Total deaths: 1,919 2041 Total births: 2,571 2040 Total births: 2,556 2039 Total births: 2,541 2038 Total births: 2,526 2037 Total births: 2,512 2036 Total births: 2,498 2035 Total births: 2,483 2034 Total births: 2,468 2033 Total births: 2,454 2032 Total births: 2,439 2031 Total births: 2,426 2030 Total births: 2,413 2029 Total births: 2,399 2028 Total births: 2,386 2027 Total births: 2,372 2026 Total births: 2,356 2025 Total births: 2,340 2024 Total births: 2,322 2023 Total births: 2,302 2022 Total births: 2,278 2021 Total births: 2,251 2020 Total births: 2,221 2019 Total births: 2,188 2018 Total births: 2,143 2017 Total births: 2,115 2041 Natural increase: 682 2040 Natural increase: 678 2039 Natural increase: 667 2038 Natural increase: 657 2037 Natural increase: 653 2036 Natural increase: 643 2035 Natural increase: 637 2034 Natural increase: 630 2033 Natural increase: 629 2032 Natural increase: 619 2031 Natural increase: 622 2030 Natural increase: 620 2029 Natural increase: 614 2028 Natural increase: 611 2027 Natural increase: 604 2026 Natural increase: 604 2025 Natural increase: 605 2024 Natural increase: 596 2023 Natural increase: 588 2022 Natural increase: 558 2021 Natural increase: 554 2020 Natural increase: 505 2019 Natural increase: 460 2018 Natural increase: 373 2017 Natural increase: 195 2041 Total deaths: 1,888 2040 Total deaths: 1,878 2039 Total deaths: 1,874 2038 Total deaths: 1,869 2037 Total deaths: 1,859 2036 Total deaths: 1,855 2035 Total deaths: 1,845 2034 Total deaths: 1,837 2033 Total deaths: 1,825 2032 Total deaths: 1,820 2031 Total deaths: 1,803 2030 Total deaths: 1,793 2029 Total deaths: 1,785 2028 Total deaths: 1,775 2027 Total deaths: 1,768 2026 Total deaths: 1,752 2025 Total deaths: 1,734 2024 Total deaths: 1,727 2023 Total deaths: 1,714 2022 Total deaths: 1,720 2021 Total deaths: 1,696 2020 Total deaths: 1,716 2019 Total deaths: 1,729 2018 Total deaths: 1,770 2017 Total deaths: 1,919 2041 Total births: 2,571 2040 Total births: 2,556 2039 Total births: 2,541 2038 Total births: 2,526 2037 Total births: 2,512 2036 Total births: 2,498 2035 Total births: 2,483 2034 Total births: 2,468 2033 Total births: 2,454 2032 Total births: 2,439 2031 Total births: 2,426 2030 Total births: 2,413 2029 Total births: 2,399 2028 Total births: 2,386 2027 Total births: 2,372 2026 Total births: 2,356 2025 Total births: 2,340 2024 Total births: 2,322 2023 Total births: 2,302 2022 Total births: 2,278 2021 Total births: 2,251 2020 Total births: 2,221 2019 Total births: 2,188 2018 Total births: 2,143 2017 Total births: 2,115
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 702 2040 Total net migration: 708 2039 Total net migration: 719 2038 Total net migration: 719 2037 Total net migration: 713 2036 Total net migration: 709 2035 Total net migration: 759 2034 Total net migration: 753 2033 Total net migration: 741 2032 Total net migration: 798 2031 Total net migration: 743 2030 Total net migration: 776 2029 Total net migration: 855 2028 Total net migration: 893 2027 Total net migration: 987 2026 Total net migration: 1,071 2025 Total net migration: 1,147 2024 Total net migration: 1,198 2023 Total net migration: 1,315 2022 Total net migration: 1,487 2021 Total net migration: 1,577 2020 Total net migration: 1,630 2019 Total net migration: 1,665 2018 Total net migration: 1,843 2017 Total net migration: 1,292 2041 Total out migration: 17,907 2040 Total out migration: 17,784 2039 Total out migration: 17,659 2038 Total out migration: 17,538 2037 Total out migration: 17,420 2036 Total out migration: 17,303 2035 Total out migration: 17,182 2034 Total out migration: 17,064 2033 Total out migration: 16,945 2032 Total out migration: 16,816 2031 Total out migration: 16,693 2030 Total out migration: 16,568 2029 Total out migration: 16,431 2028 Total out migration: 16,295 2027 Total out migration: 16,158 2026 Total out migration: 16,014 2025 Total out migration: 15,852 2024 Total out migration: 15,694 2023 Total out migration: 15,520 2022 Total out migration: 15,328 2021 Total out migration: 15,151 2020 Total out migration: 14,966 2019 Total out migration: 14,766 2018 Total out migration: 14,554 2017 Total out migration: 14,456 2041 Total in migration: 18,609 2040 Total in migration: 18,492 2039 Total in migration: 18,378 2038 Total in migration: 18,257 2037 Total in migration: 18,133 2036 Total in migration: 18,013 2035 Total in migration: 17,941 2034 Total in migration: 17,816 2033 Total in migration: 17,686 2032 Total in migration: 17,614 2031 Total in migration: 17,436 2030 Total in migration: 17,344 2029 Total in migration: 17,286 2028 Total in migration: 17,189 2027 Total in migration: 17,145 2026 Total in migration: 17,085 2025 Total in migration: 17,000 2024 Total in migration: 16,892 2023 Total in migration: 16,835 2022 Total in migration: 16,815 2021 Total in migration: 16,728 2020 Total in migration: 16,596 2019 Total in migration: 16,431 2018 Total in migration: 16,398 2017 Total in migration: 15,748 2041 Total net migration: 702 2040 Total net migration: 708 2039 Total net migration: 719 2038 Total net migration: 719 2037 Total net migration: 713 2036 Total net migration: 709 2035 Total net migration: 759 2034 Total net migration: 753 2033 Total net migration: 741 2032 Total net migration: 798 2031 Total net migration: 743 2030 Total net migration: 776 2029 Total net migration: 855 2028 Total net migration: 893 2027 Total net migration: 987 2026 Total net migration: 1,071 2025 Total net migration: 1,147 2024 Total net migration: 1,198 2023 Total net migration: 1,315 2022 Total net migration: 1,487 2021 Total net migration: 1,577 2020 Total net migration: 1,630 2019 Total net migration: 1,665 2018 Total net migration: 1,843 2017 Total net migration: 1,292 2041 Total out migration: 17,907 2040 Total out migration: 17,784 2039 Total out migration: 17,659 2038 Total out migration: 17,538 2037 Total out migration: 17,420 2036 Total out migration: 17,303 2035 Total out migration: 17,182 2034 Total out migration: 17,064 2033 Total out migration: 16,945 2032 Total out migration: 16,816 2031 Total out migration: 16,693 2030 Total out migration: 16,568 2029 Total out migration: 16,431 2028 Total out migration: 16,295 2027 Total out migration: 16,158 2026 Total out migration: 16,014 2025 Total out migration: 15,852 2024 Total out migration: 15,694 2023 Total out migration: 15,520 2022 Total out migration: 15,328 2021 Total out migration: 15,151 2020 Total out migration: 14,966 2019 Total out migration: 14,766 2018 Total out migration: 14,554 2017 Total out migration: 14,456 2041 Total in migration: 18,609 2040 Total in migration: 18,492 2039 Total in migration: 18,378 2038 Total in migration: 18,257 2037 Total in migration: 18,133 2036 Total in migration: 18,013 2035 Total in migration: 17,941 2034 Total in migration: 17,816 2033 Total in migration: 17,686 2032 Total in migration: 17,614 2031 Total in migration: 17,436 2030 Total in migration: 17,344 2029 Total in migration: 17,286 2028 Total in migration: 17,189 2027 Total in migration: 17,145 2026 Total in migration: 17,085 2025 Total in migration: 17,000 2024 Total in migration: 16,892 2023 Total in migration: 16,835 2022 Total in migration: 16,815 2021 Total in migration: 16,728 2020 Total in migration: 16,596 2019 Total in migration: 16,431 2018 Total in migration: 16,398 2017 Total in migration: 15,748
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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