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Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Murray Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Murray Shire Council indicate a 82.2% increase in males under working age, a 47.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 72.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Murray Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Murray Shire Council - Total males202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45235.61,1077.02,4617.2+1,938
5 to 96226.61,1047.02,7598.1+2,137
10 to 146316.71,0246.52,7698.1+2,137
15 to 195055.48125.22,0886.1+1,583
20 to 244384.78255.21,5874.6+1,149
25 to 294264.59716.21,8005.3+1,374
30 to 344755.11,0846.92,2736.7+1,798
35 to 395205.61,0856.92,5287.4+2,008
40 to 445115.51,0556.72,6697.8+2,158
45 to 495846.28885.62,1766.4+1,592
50 to 546056.58435.41,8825.5+1,277
55 to 596697.18125.21,6424.8+972
60 to 646296.78645.51,6074.7+978
65 to 696166.68575.41,4774.3+862
70 to 746607.08935.71,5074.4+847
75 to 794655.07024.51,3083.8+843
80 to 842833.04723.09422.8+659
85 and over2052.23552.36712.0+467
Total persons9,367100.015,751100.034,146100.0+24,779
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Murray Shire Council was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 608 and account for 6.9% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,107 males.

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