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Rural City of Murray BridgePopulation forecast

Rural City of Murray Bridge

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural City of Murray Bridge indicate a 17.7% increase in population under working age, a 21.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Rural City of Murray Bridge is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural City of Murray Bridge - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2625.91,4956.21,6535.9+391
5 to 91,3396.21,5456.41,7506.2+411
10 to 141,2255.71,4636.11,7636.3+538
15 to 191,3596.31,4065.91,7126.1+352
20 to 241,5547.21,3835.81,6555.9+101
25 to 291,5407.21,5616.51,6705.9+130
30 to 341,3246.21,7067.11,7746.3+450
35 to 391,1425.31,6697.01,8876.7+745
40 to 441,2525.81,4235.91,8856.7+633
45 to 491,4546.81,2365.21,8256.5+372
50 to 541,3866.51,3195.51,6906.0+304
55 to 591,3496.31,4596.11,5265.4+176
60 to 641,1995.61,3785.71,4035.0+204
65 to 691,2505.81,2895.41,4045.0+154
70 to 741,0434.91,1344.71,3945.0+350
75 to 797663.61,0644.41,2184.3+452
80 to 845302.58043.41,0183.6+488
85 and over5002.36652.89153.3+415
Total persons21,477100.023,999100.028,143100.0+6,666
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural City of Murray Bridge was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 527 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,706 persons.

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