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Rural City of Murray BridgePopulation forecast

Rural City of Murray Bridge

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural City of Murray Bridge indicate a 9.3% decrease in population under working age, a 16.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Rural City of Murray Bridge is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural City of Murray Bridge - Total persons202120262046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2305.51,1404.81,0824.1-148
5 to 91,2485.61,1935.01,1474.4-101
10 to 141,3966.31,1794.91,1094.2-288
15 to 191,2535.61,3285.61,1474.4-106
20 to 241,2715.71,1965.01,1714.5-100
25 to 291,4046.31,3495.61,3035.0-101
30 to 341,3746.21,5766.61,5305.8+156
35 to 391,3456.01,7447.31,8537.0+508
40 to 441,1345.11,5466.51,7526.7+619
45 to 491,2845.71,3045.51,8146.9+530
50 to 541,5006.71,4175.91,8266.9+327
55 to 591,5486.91,6086.71,7866.8+237
60 to 641,5016.71,6466.91,6966.5+195
65 to 691,3245.91,5686.61,4775.6+153
70 to 741,2585.61,2835.41,4365.5+179
75 to 799864.41,2375.21,4565.5+470
80 to 846823.18013.41,1814.5+499
85 and over6002.77703.21,5265.8+926
Total persons22,339100.023,885100.026,293100.0+3,954
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural City of Murray Bridge was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 412 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,744 persons.

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