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Mount Barker District CouncilPopulation forecast

Mount Barker Growth Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Mount Barker Growth Area indicate a 268.2% increase in males under working age, a 1012.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 258.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Mount Barker District Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Mount Barker Growth Area - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)25314.05197.27726.4+519
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1256.973910.21,0809.0+955
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)804.56038.49207.6+839
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)19310.76218.69638.0+769
Young workforce (25 to 34)50227.81,07914.91,55712.9+1,055
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)38721.41,57921.92,28319.0+1,896
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1216.777510.71,53012.7+1,409
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)985.45457.61,0909.0+992
Seniors (70 to 84)442.46549.11,36411.3+1,320
Elderly aged (85 and over)50.31081.54904.1+485
Total persons1,808100.07,221100.012,049100.0+10,241
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Mount Barker Growth Area was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 27.8% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 1,192 and account for 21.9% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 1,579 males.

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