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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds is forecast to grow from 7,886 in 2016 to 17,472 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.69 to 2.79 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bacchus Marsh and SurroundsForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population20,39323,85527,51233,66340,04046,187
Change in population (5yrs)--3,4623,6576,1516,3766,147
Average annual change--3.19%2.89%4.12%3.53%2.90%
Households7,5378,90210,29312,35014,45916,476
Average household size2.692.662.652.712.752.79
Population in non private dwellings122180244244244244
Dwellings7,8869,35810,86813,06015,31717,472
Dwelling occupancy rate95.5795.1394.7194.5694.4094.30
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds was estimated to be 20,393 people. It is expected to increase by over 13,270 people to 33,663 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 5.14%. This is based on an increase of over 4,813 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.69 to 2.71 by 2026.

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