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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds is forecast to grow from 9,569 in 2021 to 17,683 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.63 to 2.79 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Moorabool Shire. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bacchus Marsh and SurroundsForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population24,53028,30434,49640,81346,881
Change in population (5yrs)--3,7746,1916,3176,068
Average annual change--2.90%4.04%3.42%2.81%
Households9,19810,63812,66414,72016,672
Average household size2.632.632.702.752.79
Population in non private dwellings309309309309309
Dwellings9,56911,07913,27115,52817,683
Dwelling occupancy rate96.1296.0295.4394.8094.28
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds was estimated to be 24,530 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,966 people to 34,496 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 3.47%. This is based on an increase of over 3,466 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.63 to 2.70 by 2031.

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