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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Moorabool Shire is forecast to grow from 15,443 in 2021 to 26,090 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.60 to 2.70 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Moorabool Shire. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Moorabool ShireForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population37,89042,64250,01357,77565,693
Change in population (5yrs)--4,7527,3717,7627,918
Average annual change--2.39%3.24%2.93%2.60%
Households14,40316,27818,82721,50224,209
Average household size2.602.592.632.672.70
Population in non private dwellings414414414414414
Dwellings15,44317,43020,19123,12026,090
Dwelling occupancy rate93.2793.3993.2493.0092.79
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Moorabool Shire was estimated to be 37,890 people. It is expected to increase by over 12,123 people to 50,013 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.81%. This is based on an increase of over 4,424 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.60 to 2.63 by 2031.

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