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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Moorabool Shire is forecast to grow from 13,179 in 2016 to 25,591 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.65 to 2.68 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Moorabool Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Moorabool ShireForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population32,66336,34440,78148,03855,83863,831
Change in population (5yrs)--3,6814,4377,2577,8017,993
Average annual change--2.16%2.33%3.33%3.06%2.71%
Households12,22413,82715,62218,19220,90723,662
Average household size2.652.612.592.622.652.68
Population in non private dwellings219277341341341341
Dwellings13,17914,94416,93119,69222,62125,591
Dwelling occupancy rate92.7592.5392.2792.3892.4292.46
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Moorabool Shire was estimated to be 32,663 people. It is expected to increase by over 15,375 people to 48,038 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 3.93%. This is based on an increase of over 5,968 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.65 to 2.62 by 2026.

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