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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Moorabool Shire indicate a 33.8% increase in females under working age, a 45.0% increase in females of retirement age, and a 27.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabool Shire - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,1916.31,7467.02,2606.9+1,069
5 to 91,2176.41,6616.62,2186.8+1,000
10 to 141,3086.91,5656.32,1706.7+862
15 to 191,0505.51,3425.41,8865.8+836
20 to 249475.01,3255.31,7845.5+837
25 to 291,1906.31,5916.42,0196.2+829
30 to 341,3146.91,8657.42,3557.2+1,042
35 to 391,3317.01,9157.62,4457.5+1,115
40 to 441,2736.71,8227.32,4077.4+1,134
45 to 491,2876.81,5636.22,0886.4+801
50 to 541,2786.71,3455.41,7475.4+469
55 to 591,2036.31,2525.01,4634.5+260
60 to 641,1476.01,2915.21,4194.4+272
65 to 691,0225.41,2935.21,5044.6+483
70 to 749284.91,2885.11,6745.1+746
75 to 795973.11,0014.01,4364.4+839
80 to 843381.87032.81,0033.1+665
85 and over3992.14781.97052.2+306
Total persons19,018100.025,047100.032,584100.0+13,566
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Moorabool Shire was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 7.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 584 and account for 7.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,915 females.

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