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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Moorabool Shire indicate a 36.8% increase in males under working age, a 29.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 31.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabool Shire - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2266.51,8207.32,3177.0+1,090
5 to 91,3927.41,9087.62,5437.7+1,151
10 to 141,4067.41,7787.12,4947.5+1,088
15 to 191,1406.01,5456.22,1766.6+1,036
20 to 249935.31,3085.21,7965.4+803
25 to 291,1306.01,4896.01,9195.8+789
30 to 341,2596.71,7727.12,2216.7+961
35 to 391,3096.91,9257.72,4817.5+1,173
40 to 441,2496.61,8847.52,5777.8+1,329
45 to 491,2106.41,6706.72,3977.2+1,187
50 to 541,3096.91,4876.02,1666.5+857
55 to 591,2126.41,2905.21,7705.3+558
60 to 641,0355.51,2154.91,4144.3+379
65 to 699815.21,1144.51,2533.8+272
70 to 749154.89673.91,2353.7+320
75 to 795843.18083.21,0433.1+459
80 to 842911.55822.37102.1+419
85 and over2301.24031.65971.8+367
Total persons18,872100.024,966100.033,109100.0+14,237
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Moorabool Shire was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 635 and account for 7.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,925 males.

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