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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast


Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Darley is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Moorabool Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Between 2016-2031 Migration assumptions include:

  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-9 and 25-44 years) owing to housing opportunities created by continued greenfield development
  • Loss of young adults (15-24 years) seeking affordable housing or areas closer to education and employment opportunities, increasing over time as children, who moved into the area during the earlier period of growth, mature into this cohort and leave home
  • A net loss of 'empty-nester' and retiree households (50+ years), downsizing and moving to other areas

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