Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast
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Bacchus Marsh and surrounds

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Bacchus Marsh and surrounds is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,076 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bacchus Marsh and surroundsForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births1,1261,3541,5141,6251,7511,879
Deaths5476918339801,1341,265
Natural increase/decrease579664681646617614
Net migration2,2652,4131,6401,5931,6891,377
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 363 2040 forecast population change: 375 2039 forecast population change: 398 2038 forecast population change: 419 2037 forecast population change: 435 2036 forecast population change: 454 2035 forecast population change: 460 2034 forecast population change: 466 2033 forecast population change: 463 2032 forecast population change: 462 2031 forecast population change: 461 2030 forecast population change: 468 2029 forecast population change: 439 2028 forecast population change: 434 2027 forecast population change: 437 2026 forecast population change: 446 2025 forecast population change: 441 2024 forecast population change: 475 2023 forecast population change: 474 2022 forecast population change: 487 2021 forecast population change: 539 2020 forecast population change: 592 2019 forecast population change: 608 2018 forecast population change: 657 2017 forecast population change: 679 2016 forecast population change: 653 2015 forecast population change: 586 2014 forecast population change: 602 2013 forecast population change: 559 2012 forecast population change: 444
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 123 2040 Natural increase: 123 2039 Natural increase: 123 2038 Natural increase: 123 2037 Natural increase: 122 2036 Natural increase: 122 2035 Natural increase: 123 2034 Natural increase: 123 2033 Natural increase: 124 2032 Natural increase: 125 2031 Natural increase: 126 2030 Natural increase: 127 2029 Natural increase: 129 2028 Natural increase: 131 2027 Natural increase: 132 2026 Natural increase: 134 2025 Natural increase: 135 2024 Natural increase: 136 2023 Natural increase: 137 2022 Natural increase: 138 2021 Natural increase: 138 2020 Natural increase: 136 2019 Natural increase: 134 2018 Natural increase: 130 2017 Natural increase: 126 2016 Natural increase: 120 2015 Natural increase: 116 2014 Natural increase: 110 2013 Natural increase: 104 2012 Natural increase: 129 2041 Total deaths: 262 2040 Total deaths: 258 2039 Total deaths: 253 2038 Total deaths: 249 2037 Total deaths: 244 2036 Total deaths: 239 2035 Total deaths: 233 2034 Total deaths: 227 2033 Total deaths: 221 2032 Total deaths: 215 2031 Total deaths: 208 2030 Total deaths: 202 2029 Total deaths: 196 2028 Total deaths: 190 2027 Total deaths: 184 2026 Total deaths: 178 2025 Total deaths: 172 2024 Total deaths: 166 2023 Total deaths: 161 2022 Total deaths: 155 2021 Total deaths: 150 2020 Total deaths: 144 2019 Total deaths: 138 2018 Total deaths: 132 2017 Total deaths: 126 2016 Total deaths: 122 2015 Total deaths: 117 2014 Total deaths: 112 2013 Total deaths: 108 2012 Total deaths: 88 2041 Total births: 385 2040 Total births: 381 2039 Total births: 376 2038 Total births: 371 2037 Total births: 366 2036 Total births: 361 2035 Total births: 355 2034 Total births: 350 2033 Total births: 345 2032 Total births: 340 2031 Total births: 335 2030 Total births: 329 2029 Total births: 325 2028 Total births: 320 2027 Total births: 316 2026 Total births: 312 2025 Total births: 308 2024 Total births: 303 2023 Total births: 298 2022 Total births: 294 2021 Total births: 288 2020 Total births: 280 2019 Total births: 272 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 252 2016 Total births: 242 2015 Total births: 233 2014 Total births: 222 2013 Total births: 212 2012 Total births: 217 2041 Natural increase: 123 2040 Natural increase: 123 2039 Natural increase: 123 2038 Natural increase: 123 2037 Natural increase: 122 2036 Natural increase: 122 2035 Natural increase: 123 2034 Natural increase: 123 2033 Natural increase: 124 2032 Natural increase: 125 2031 Natural increase: 126 2030 Natural increase: 127 2029 Natural increase: 129 2028 Natural increase: 131 2027 Natural increase: 132 2026 Natural increase: 134 2025 Natural increase: 135 2024 Natural increase: 136 2023 Natural increase: 137 2022 Natural increase: 138 2021 Natural increase: 138 2020 Natural increase: 136 2019 Natural increase: 134 2018 Natural increase: 130 2017 Natural increase: 126 2016 Natural increase: 120 2015 Natural increase: 116 2014 Natural increase: 110 2013 Natural increase: 104 2012 Natural increase: 129 2041 Total deaths: 262 2040 Total deaths: 258 2039 Total deaths: 253 2038 Total deaths: 249 2037 Total deaths: 244 2036 Total deaths: 239 2035 Total deaths: 233 2034 Total deaths: 227 2033 Total deaths: 221 2032 Total deaths: 215 2031 Total deaths: 208 2030 Total deaths: 202 2029 Total deaths: 196 2028 Total deaths: 190 2027 Total deaths: 184 2026 Total deaths: 178 2025 Total deaths: 172 2024 Total deaths: 166 2023 Total deaths: 161 2022 Total deaths: 155 2021 Total deaths: 150 2020 Total deaths: 144 2019 Total deaths: 138 2018 Total deaths: 132 2017 Total deaths: 126 2016 Total deaths: 122 2015 Total deaths: 117 2014 Total deaths: 112 2013 Total deaths: 108 2012 Total deaths: 88 2041 Total births: 385 2040 Total births: 381 2039 Total births: 376 2038 Total births: 371 2037 Total births: 366 2036 Total births: 361 2035 Total births: 355 2034 Total births: 350 2033 Total births: 345 2032 Total births: 340 2031 Total births: 335 2030 Total births: 329 2029 Total births: 325 2028 Total births: 320 2027 Total births: 316 2026 Total births: 312 2025 Total births: 308 2024 Total births: 303 2023 Total births: 298 2022 Total births: 294 2021 Total births: 288 2020 Total births: 280 2019 Total births: 272 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 252 2016 Total births: 242 2015 Total births: 233 2014 Total births: 222 2013 Total births: 212 2012 Total births: 217
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 240 2040 Total net migration: 252 2039 Total net migration: 275 2038 Total net migration: 297 2037 Total net migration: 313 2036 Total net migration: 332 2035 Total net migration: 338 2034 Total net migration: 343 2033 Total net migration: 339 2032 Total net migration: 337 2031 Total net migration: 335 2030 Total net migration: 340 2029 Total net migration: 310 2028 Total net migration: 304 2027 Total net migration: 304 2026 Total net migration: 312 2025 Total net migration: 305 2024 Total net migration: 339 2023 Total net migration: 336 2022 Total net migration: 348 2021 Total net migration: 402 2020 Total net migration: 456 2019 Total net migration: 474 2018 Total net migration: 527 2017 Total net migration: 554 2016 Total net migration: 532 2015 Total net migration: 471 2014 Total net migration: 492 2013 Total net migration: 455 2012 Total net migration: 315 2041 Total out migration: 2,623 2040 Total out migration: 2,593 2039 Total out migration: 2,562 2038 Total out migration: 2,528 2037 Total out migration: 2,493 2036 Total out migration: 2,456 2035 Total out migration: 2,419 2034 Total out migration: 2,381 2033 Total out migration: 2,344 2032 Total out migration: 2,305 2031 Total out migration: 2,267 2030 Total out migration: 2,228 2029 Total out migration: 2,191 2028 Total out migration: 2,157 2027 Total out migration: 2,120 2026 Total out migration: 2,086 2025 Total out migration: 2,051 2024 Total out migration: 2,013 2023 Total out migration: 1,976 2022 Total out migration: 1,936 2021 Total out migration: 1,894 2020 Total out migration: 1,843 2019 Total out migration: 1,791 2018 Total out migration: 1,732 2017 Total out migration: 1,661 2016 Total out migration: 1,601 2015 Total out migration: 1,546 2014 Total out migration: 1,492 2013 Total out migration: 1,436 2012 Total out migration: 1,330 2041 Total in migration: 2,862 2040 Total in migration: 2,846 2039 Total in migration: 2,837 2038 Total in migration: 2,825 2037 Total in migration: 2,806 2036 Total in migration: 2,788 2035 Total in migration: 2,756 2034 Total in migration: 2,724 2033 Total in migration: 2,683 2032 Total in migration: 2,642 2031 Total in migration: 2,602 2030 Total in migration: 2,568 2029 Total in migration: 2,502 2028 Total in migration: 2,460 2027 Total in migration: 2,425 2026 Total in migration: 2,398 2025 Total in migration: 2,357 2024 Total in migration: 2,352 2023 Total in migration: 2,313 2022 Total in migration: 2,284 2021 Total in migration: 2,296 2020 Total in migration: 2,299 2019 Total in migration: 2,266 2018 Total in migration: 2,259 2017 Total in migration: 2,215 2016 Total in migration: 2,133 2015 Total in migration: 2,017 2014 Total in migration: 1,983 2013 Total in migration: 1,891 2012 Total in migration: 1,645 2041 Total net migration: 240 2040 Total net migration: 252 2039 Total net migration: 275 2038 Total net migration: 297 2037 Total net migration: 313 2036 Total net migration: 332 2035 Total net migration: 338 2034 Total net migration: 343 2033 Total net migration: 339 2032 Total net migration: 337 2031 Total net migration: 335 2030 Total net migration: 340 2029 Total net migration: 310 2028 Total net migration: 304 2027 Total net migration: 304 2026 Total net migration: 312 2025 Total net migration: 305 2024 Total net migration: 339 2023 Total net migration: 336 2022 Total net migration: 348 2021 Total net migration: 402 2020 Total net migration: 456 2019 Total net migration: 474 2018 Total net migration: 527 2017 Total net migration: 554 2016 Total net migration: 532 2015 Total net migration: 471 2014 Total net migration: 492 2013 Total net migration: 455 2012 Total net migration: 315 2041 Total out migration: 2,623 2040 Total out migration: 2,593 2039 Total out migration: 2,562 2038 Total out migration: 2,528 2037 Total out migration: 2,493 2036 Total out migration: 2,456 2035 Total out migration: 2,419 2034 Total out migration: 2,381 2033 Total out migration: 2,344 2032 Total out migration: 2,305 2031 Total out migration: 2,267 2030 Total out migration: 2,228 2029 Total out migration: 2,191 2028 Total out migration: 2,157 2027 Total out migration: 2,120 2026 Total out migration: 2,086 2025 Total out migration: 2,051 2024 Total out migration: 2,013 2023 Total out migration: 1,976 2022 Total out migration: 1,936 2021 Total out migration: 1,894 2020 Total out migration: 1,843 2019 Total out migration: 1,791 2018 Total out migration: 1,732 2017 Total out migration: 1,661 2016 Total out migration: 1,601 2015 Total out migration: 1,546 2014 Total out migration: 1,492 2013 Total out migration: 1,436 2012 Total out migration: 1,330 2041 Total in migration: 2,862 2040 Total in migration: 2,846 2039 Total in migration: 2,837 2038 Total in migration: 2,825 2037 Total in migration: 2,806 2036 Total in migration: 2,788 2035 Total in migration: 2,756 2034 Total in migration: 2,724 2033 Total in migration: 2,683 2032 Total in migration: 2,642 2031 Total in migration: 2,602 2030 Total in migration: 2,568 2029 Total in migration: 2,502 2028 Total in migration: 2,460 2027 Total in migration: 2,425 2026 Total in migration: 2,398 2025 Total in migration: 2,357 2024 Total in migration: 2,352 2023 Total in migration: 2,313 2022 Total in migration: 2,284 2021 Total in migration: 2,296 2020 Total in migration: 2,299 2019 Total in migration: 2,266 2018 Total in migration: 2,259 2017 Total in migration: 2,215 2016 Total in migration: 2,133 2015 Total in migration: 2,017 2014 Total in migration: 1,983 2013 Total in migration: 1,891 2012 Total in migration: 1,645
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
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