City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast
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Essendon Neighbourhood

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Essendon Neighbourhood will increase by an average of 138 dwellings per annum to 8,949 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Moonee Valley. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for the period 2011 to 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • 88 Travancore, 72-88 Mt Alexander Road - 46 dwellings (2018)
  • 3-5 North Street - 34 dwellings (2019)
  • Only Flemington, 1 Ascot Vale Road - 346 dwellings (2019)
  • 484-486 Mt Alexander Road - 21 dwellings (2020)
  • 177A Mount Alexander Road - 15 dwellings (2020)
  • Future residential development sites - 198 dwellings (2020)
  • Flemington Housing Estate redevelopment - 845 dwellings (2020-2026)
  • 436-442 Mt Alexander Road - 46 dwellings (2021)
  • 72 Ascot Vale Road - 159 dwellings (2021-2022)
  • High level of future development in centres (52-75 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of infill (2-22 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 8,949 2040 Total dwellings: 8,832 2039 Total dwellings: 8,716 2038 Total dwellings: 8,600 2037 Total dwellings: 8,500 2036 Total dwellings: 8,383 2035 Total dwellings: 8,155 2034 Total dwellings: 7,950 2033 Total dwellings: 7,695 2032 Total dwellings: 7,440 2031 Total dwellings: 7,260 2030 Total dwellings: 7,093 2029 Total dwellings: 6,944 2028 Total dwellings: 6,815 2027 Total dwellings: 6,709 2026 Total dwellings: 6,618 2025 Total dwellings: 6,531 2024 Total dwellings: 6,444 2023 Total dwellings: 6,357 2022 Total dwellings: 6,259 2021 Total dwellings: 6,153 2020 Total dwellings: 6,015 2019 Total dwellings: 5,857 2018 Total dwellings: 5,688 2017 Total dwellings: 5,580 2041 Total dwellings: 8,949 2040 Total dwellings: 8,832 2039 Total dwellings: 8,716 2038 Total dwellings: 8,600 2037 Total dwellings: 8,500 2036 Total dwellings: 8,383 2035 Total dwellings: 8,155 2034 Total dwellings: 7,950 2033 Total dwellings: 7,695 2032 Total dwellings: 7,440 2031 Total dwellings: 7,260 2030 Total dwellings: 7,093 2029 Total dwellings: 6,944 2028 Total dwellings: 6,815 2027 Total dwellings: 6,709 2026 Total dwellings: 6,618 2025 Total dwellings: 6,531 2024 Total dwellings: 6,444 2023 Total dwellings: 6,357 2022 Total dwellings: 6,259 2021 Total dwellings: 6,153 2020 Total dwellings: 6,015 2019 Total dwellings: 5,857 2018 Total dwellings: 5,688 2017 Total dwellings: 5,580 2041 Forecast development: 117 2040 Forecast development: 116 2039 Forecast development: 116 2038 Forecast development: 100 2037 Forecast development: 117 2036 Forecast development: 228 2035 Forecast development: 205 2034 Forecast development: 255 2033 Forecast development: 255 2032 Forecast development: 180 2031 Forecast development: 167 2030 Forecast development: 149 2029 Forecast development: 129 2028 Forecast development: 106 2027 Forecast development: 91 2026 Forecast development: 87 2025 Forecast development: 87 2024 Forecast development: 87 2023 Forecast development: 98 2022 Forecast development: 106 2021 Forecast development: 138 2020 Forecast development: 158 2019 Forecast development: 169 2018 Forecast development: 108 2017 Forecast development: 73
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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