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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Keilor Road - Essendon North Neighbourhood

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Keilor Road - Essendon North Neighbourhood indicate a 30.0% increase in population under working age, a 18.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 30.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Keilor Road - Essendon North Neighbourhood is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Keilor Road - Essendon North Neighbourhood - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45595.38346.21,0426.0+483
5 to 95765.56815.18654.9+288
10 to 145004.76104.58274.7+327
15 to 195094.86584.98314.8+322
20 to 246856.59797.31,2687.2+583
25 to 298798.31,2659.41,6169.2+737
30 to 349949.41,2089.01,5568.9+562
35 to 397667.31,0177.51,3237.6+557
40 to 447367.09987.41,2647.2+527
45 to 497507.18166.11,0776.2+327
50 to 546636.37245.49705.5+307
55 to 595335.17445.59225.3+389
60 to 644884.66955.28624.9+374
65 to 695144.95604.27504.3+236
70 to 743223.14793.67074.0+385
75 to 793113.04493.35893.4+278
80 to 842852.73162.34782.7+193
85 and over4574.34343.25463.1+89
Total persons10,527100.013,466100.017,492100.0+6,965
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Keilor Road - Essendon North Neighbourhood was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 387 and account for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,265 persons.

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