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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Essendon Neighbourhood

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Essendon Neighbourhood indicate a 21.9% increase in population under working age, a 44.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Essendon Neighbourhood is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Essendon Neighbourhood - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46755.48075.51,0765.5+401
5 to 96725.38205.51,0555.4+382
10 to 146405.17965.41,0555.4+415
15 to 196595.29216.21,2176.2+558
20 to 249867.81,1367.71,5287.8+542
25 to 291,37010.91,3299.01,8089.3+438
30 to 341,30510.41,2708.61,6798.6+374
35 to 398837.01,1577.81,4637.5+580
40 to 449067.21,1087.51,3687.0+462
45 to 498196.59856.71,3486.9+528
50 to 547756.29606.51,2636.5+488
55 to 597696.17935.41,0865.6+318
60 to 646995.66544.48654.4+166
65 to 694623.76104.17383.8+276
70 to 743172.55533.76243.2+307
75 to 792582.13672.55202.7+262
80 to 841601.32411.64332.2+273
85 and over2141.72641.84022.1+189
Total persons12,571100.014,771100.019,530100.0+6,958
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Essendon Neighbourhood was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 274 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,329 persons.

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