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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Flemington - Travancore

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Flemington - Travancore indicate a 34.0% increase in population under working age, a 44.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 33.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Flemington - Travancore is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Flemington - Travancore - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46716.31,0307.29756.6+304
5 to 95335.06824.77445.0+210
10 to 144474.25013.55924.0+145
15 to 195274.97215.07475.1+220
20 to 241,19511.21,54710.71,3829.4+188
25 to 291,52014.22,00113.91,75811.9+238
30 to 341,27812.01,84812.81,63611.1+358
35 to 398898.31,3549.41,2888.7+399
40 to 446606.29516.61,0076.8+347
45 to 496185.87245.08775.9+259
50 to 544624.36014.27635.2+301
55 to 594824.55754.06594.5+177
60 to 644053.84413.15463.7+141
65 to 693273.14142.94593.1+131
70 to 742021.93202.24082.8+206
75 to 791751.62561.83152.1+140
80 to 841321.21711.22721.8+140
85 and over1561.52681.93332.3+177
Total persons10,680100.014,404100.014,761100.0+4,081
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Flemington - Travancore was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 570 and account for 12.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,001 persons.

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