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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Essendon - Essendon North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Essendon - Essendon North indicate a 26.8% increase in population under working age, a 37.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Essendon - Essendon North is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Essendon - Essendon North - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2785.11,7906.02,2485.8+970
5 to 91,3165.31,6815.62,0825.4+766
10 to 141,3745.51,5615.22,0705.4+696
15 to 191,4385.81,7105.72,2175.7+779
20 to 241,8927.62,2237.42,8827.5+990
25 to 292,3009.22,5958.73,3808.8+1,080
30 to 342,2769.12,4778.33,2028.3+926
35 to 391,6616.72,2507.52,8547.4+1,193
40 to 441,7517.02,2527.52,7917.2+1,041
45 to 491,8147.31,9396.52,5836.7+769
50 to 541,5986.41,7876.02,3536.1+754
55 to 591,5016.01,6725.62,0795.4+578
60 to 641,3215.31,4294.81,7614.6+440
65 to 691,0184.11,2884.31,5133.9+495
70 to 746812.71,1273.81,4013.6+721
75 to 795722.38592.91,1703.0+598
80 to 844521.86012.09882.6+536
85 and over6492.67522.51,0362.7+387
Total persons24,892100.029,994100.038,611100.0+13,718
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Essendon - Essendon North was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 589 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,595 persons.

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