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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Avondale Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Avondale Heights indicate a 12.2% increase in population under working age, a 1.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Avondale Heights is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Avondale Heights - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47185.97395.57725.3+54
5 to 96285.17115.37535.2+125
10 to 145574.56855.17154.9+158
15 to 195984.96374.76924.8+94
20 to 246995.76955.17565.2+57
25 to 297235.98866.69106.2+187
30 to 348727.19657.19796.7+107
35 to 397956.59266.89786.7+183
40 to 448216.78796.59096.2+88
45 to 497986.58336.28956.1+97
50 to 546985.78836.59066.2+208
55 to 597165.88606.49116.3+195
60 to 646265.17485.58716.0+245
65 to 697596.27285.48515.8+92
70 to 747285.96314.78075.5+79
75 to 796535.36554.87034.8+50
80 to 844743.95424.05894.0+115
85 and over4053.35193.85753.9+170
Total persons12,268100.013,524100.014,572100.0+2,304
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Avondale Heights was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 185 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 965 persons.

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