City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast
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Airport West - Essendon Fields

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Airport West - Essendon Fields indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 4.2% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 5.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Moonee Valley is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Airport West - Essendon Fields - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45056.45316.45796.3+74
5 to 94015.14685.64945.4+93
10 to 143484.43954.84304.7+82
15 to 193083.93844.64334.7+125
20 to 244455.64966.05536.1+108
25 to 296508.26177.46877.5+37
30 to 347068.96618.07298.0+23
35 to 396107.76537.97037.7+93
40 to 445356.86257.56617.2+126
45 to 495416.85596.76196.8+78
50 to 544545.75066.15806.4+126
55 to 594595.84925.95466.0+87
60 to 643995.04135.04865.3+87
65 to 693864.93874.74224.6+36
70 to 743414.33324.03864.2+45
75 to 793314.22983.63173.5-14
80 to 842673.42392.92652.9-2
85 and over2322.92362.82312.5-1
Total persons7,918100.08,292100.09,120100.0+1,202

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 231 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 265 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 317 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 386 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 422 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 486 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 546 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 580 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 619 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 661 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 703 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 729 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 687 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 553 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 433 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 430 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 494 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 579 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 239 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 298 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 387 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 413 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 492 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 506 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 559 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 625 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 653 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 661 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 617 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 496 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 384 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 395 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 468 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 531 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 232 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 267 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 331 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 341 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 386 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 459 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 454 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 541 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 535 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 610 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 706 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 650 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 445 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 308 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 401 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 505
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 54 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 34 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 54 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 59 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 68 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 71 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 57 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 49 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 35 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 25 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 26
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Airport West - Essendon Fields was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 661 persons.

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