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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Airport West - Essendon Fields

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Airport West - Essendon Fields indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 4.2% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 5.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Airport West - Essendon Fields is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Airport West - Essendon Fields - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45056.45316.45796.3+74
5 to 94015.14685.64945.4+93
10 to 143484.43954.84304.7+82
15 to 193083.93844.64334.7+125
20 to 244455.64966.05536.1+108
25 to 296508.26177.46877.5+37
30 to 347068.96618.07298.0+23
35 to 396107.76537.97037.7+93
40 to 445356.86257.56617.2+126
45 to 495416.85596.76196.8+78
50 to 544545.75066.15806.4+126
55 to 594595.84925.95466.0+87
60 to 643995.04135.04865.3+87
65 to 693864.93874.74224.6+36
70 to 743414.33324.03864.2+45
75 to 793314.22983.63173.5-14
80 to 842673.42392.92652.9-2
85 and over2322.92362.82312.5-1
Total persons7,918100.08,292100.09,120100.0+1,202
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Airport West - Essendon Fields was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 661 persons.

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