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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Niddrie - Essendon West

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Niddrie - Essendon West is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Moonee Valley depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Limited new housing opportunities restrict opportunity for people to move into the area, with relatively small gains and losses in most age groups
  • There is expected to be some development within centres and along main roads, attracting young adults and renters (18-24 years)
  • The continued gain of established families (5-9 and 35-44 years) reflects the existing large family housing stock within the area, made available as older families move elsewhere (upgrading to larger housing) or older couples downsize so providing opportunity for second or third-time homebuyers with children
  • Loss of younger families (with children aged 0-4), either younger homebuyers looking for affordable family housing, or older parents requiring a larger dwelling following the arrival of a new child
  • Loss of mature adults and empty-nesters (45-64), especially post 2016, down-sizing or looking for larger family housing elsewhere
  • Little net change in older persons through migration, fluctuating betwen small gains and losses over the forecast period

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