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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Avondale Heights

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Avondale Heights is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Moonee Valley depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Generally a small loss of families (0-14 and 30-34 years) over the period indicative of the low level of development of family type housing expected over the duration of the forecast; the exception is a small gain (5-14 years) during the period 2016-2021, reflecting specific opportunities such as the redevelopment of 77-89 Military Road
  • Gain of young adults (20-29 years) with medium / higher density residential development expected within local centres and a gain of townhouses through infill development likely to appeal to first-time homebuyers
  • Small gain of empty-nesters (50-64 years) with development of retirement housing and increasing infill development of duplexes and units provides alternative housing options
  • A small loss in older persons (aged 75+)

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