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City of Moonee ValleyPopulation forecast

Aberfeldie

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Aberfeldie is 40-44 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Moonee Valley depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively little development opportunity constrains migration, which is dominated by second or third-time homebuyers with children
  • Gain of established families (0-14 and 35-49 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-29 years), homeleavers / first-time homebuyers accessing affordable housing elsewhere
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50+ years)
  • Little net change through migration in older groups (aged 70+) fluctuating between small gains and losses over the forecast period

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