City of MonashPopulation forecast
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Mulgrave

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Mulgrave indicate a 2.0% increase in population under working age, a 15.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mulgrave - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,3076.41,2465.81,2995.8-8
5 to 91,2316.01,2125.61,2655.6+34
10 to 141,0144.91,1645.41,2105.4+196
15 to 191,0635.21,2815.91,3105.9+247
20 to 241,4016.81,4676.81,5076.7+106
25 to 291,5467.51,5477.21,6197.2+73
30 to 341,6227.91,5547.21,6257.3+3
35 to 391,4577.11,4496.71,5166.8+59
40 to 441,4477.01,3646.31,4226.4-25
45 to 491,3376.51,3266.11,3536.0+16
50 to 541,1785.71,2655.91,2895.8+111
55 to 591,0995.41,2685.91,2565.6+157
60 to 641,1165.41,1735.41,1825.3+66
65 to 691,0795.31,0334.81,1265.0+47
70 to 749664.79244.31,0234.6+57
75 to 797083.48273.88553.8+147
80 to 844502.26593.16613.0+211
85 and over5052.58403.98793.9+374
Total persons20,526100.021,601100.022,398100.0+1,872

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 879 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 661 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 855 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,023 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,126 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,182 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,256 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,289 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,422 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,516 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,625 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,619 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,310 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,210 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,265 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,299 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 840 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 659 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 827 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 924 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 1,033 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 1,173 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 1,268 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 1,265 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,326 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,364 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,449 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 1,554 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 1,547 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 1,467 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,281 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,164 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,212 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,246 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 505 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 450 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 708 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 966 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,116 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,099 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,178 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,337 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,447 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,457 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,622 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,546 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,401 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,231 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,307
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 38 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 93 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: -13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 25 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 58 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 71 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 72 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 40 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 54 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 53 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 335 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 209 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 119 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: -42 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -46 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 57 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 169 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 87 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: -11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: -83 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: -8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -68 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 66 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 218 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 150 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -61
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mulgrave was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 335 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,554 persons.

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